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All Journal KALAM CENDEKIA PGSD KEBUMEN Jurnal Pendidikan Indonesia International Journal of Education The Journal of Educational Development Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA (JPPIPA) Social, Humanities, and Educational Studies (SHEs): Conference Series Kalam Cendekia: Jurnal Ilmiah Kependidikan caXra: Jurnal Pendidikan Sekolah Dasar Jurnal Inovasi dan Teknologi Pendidikan
chamdani, muhamad
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Education Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Physics Social Sciences Other

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Journal : International Journal of Education

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Prediction of Illiteracy Rates in Indonesia Using Time Series Chamdani, Muhamad; Mahmudah, Umi; Fatimah, Siti
International Journal of Education Vol 12, No 1 (2019): August 2019
Publisher : UPI Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17509/ije.v12i1.16589

Abstract

Illiteracy eradication will increase the quality of human resources; therefore, it should be a priority program for every country. This study applies time series analysis to predict illiteracy rates in Indonesia by using data from the Indonesia Statistic Centre from 2003 to 2017. As data on illiteracy rates are non-stationary, a differencing process is required. The results of this study indicate that the best model to predict illiteracy rates in Indonesia is ARIMA (3,3,1), which shows there are three processes of differencing to obtain stationary data. The results indicate that the point forecast of the illiteracy rate in 2025 is 1.51. Further, the results of the forecasting also reveal that over the next ten years there will a downward trend in illiteracy rates in Indonesia, with the average of the forecast points being 2.32 percent. This shows that continuity and commitment to the implementation of illiteracy eradication programs are required.
Co-Authors A.A. Ketut Agung Cahyawan W Adhitama, Reza Agustin, Rizqi Amanah, Laras Tazkiatul Daryati, Daryati Dewi, Aprilina Kusuma Farikhah, Nur Alfi Herlina Herlina Hirama, Sinta Indah Novita Sari Joharman Joharman Kartika Chrysti Suryandari Khabibah, Febriyanti Umi Khasanah, Wahyu Malik, M Romaryo Molana Moh Salimi Murwani Dewi Wijayanti, Murwani Dewi Noviana, Rizki Nur Isnaeni Nurjanah, Amanda Putri Nurriskah, Yuniatun Dwi P, Mauliddhina Imas Permatasari, Mauliddhina Imas Pradita, Lulu Pramesti, Wahyu Retnoningrum, Fenti Retnoningsih, Wahyu Riana, Oka Yoga Rokhanah, Nur Rokhmaniyah Rokhmaniyah, Rokhmaniyah S.Pd. M Kes I Ketut Sudiana . Siti Fatimah Sofiah, Rodatus Sofiyulloh, Musfik Wahyu Solly Aryza Thoyyibah, Idzza Zubdatun Tri Saptuti Susiani Utomo, Cahyo Warso Vonna, Cut Nurul Zara Wahyudi Wahyudi Wijayanti, Indah Wahyu