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Journal : Abdi Dosen : Jurnal Pengabdian Pada Masyarakat

ANALYSIS OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN SUPPORTING INDONESIA’S ECONOMIC STABILITY Sitorus, Timoria; Rusiadi, Rusiadi; Nazliana Nasution, Lia
Abdi Dosen : Jurnal Pengabdian Pada Masyarakat Vol. 9 No. 3 (2025): SEPTEMBER
Publisher : LPPM Univ. Ibn Khaldun Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32832/abdidos.v9i3.2932

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the role of international trade in supporting Indonesia’s economic stability using the Vector Autoregression (VAR) model. The variables used in the study include exports, imports, exchange rate, trade balance, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) over the period 2007 to 2024. Data were obtained from the World Bank and the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). The stationarity test results show that all variables are stationary at different levels. The optimal lag was determined at lag 2 based on the Akaike and Schwarz criteria. The Johansen cointegration test results indicate the existence of a long-term relationship among the variables, while the stability test shows that the model meets the stability requirements. The results of the VAR analysis, Impulse Response Function (IRF), and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) reveal that exports and imports have the greatest contribution in influencing other macroeconomic variables. The response of the variables to external shocks is dynamic yet stable in the medium term. Exports have a positive impact on economic growth, while imports play a strategic role in meeting domestic needs. The trade balance is influenced by the movement of exports and imports and serves as an important indicator for measuring external stability. Thus, international trade is proven to have a significant impact on Indonesia’s economic stability, making it necessary to implement responsive policies such as market diversification, increasing the competitiveness of domestic products, and selective import management to ensure the sustainability of national economic growth.
DIGITAL ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION IN SUPPORTING AND ACCELERATING ENVIRONMENTALLY FRIENDLY ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA Annisa, Mutiara; Rusiadi, Rusiadi; Efendi, Bakhtiar; Nazliana Nasution, Lia
Abdi Dosen : Jurnal Pengabdian Pada Masyarakat Vol. 9 No. 3 (2025): SEPTEMBER
Publisher : LPPM Univ. Ibn Khaldun Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32832/abdidos.v9i3.2933

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between digital economy factors and environmentally sustainable economic growth in Indonesia. Variables include Internet Users (IU), Carbon Emissions (CE), Green Investment (GI), Energy Consumption (EC), and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), using 2006–2024 World Bank data analyzed through the Vector Autoregression (VAR) method. Tests conducted include unit root, Johansen cointegration, impulse response (IRF), and variance decomposition (FEVD). Results show that internet usage significantly influences green investment, energy consumption, and GDP, especially in the long term. The positive impact of IU on GDP grows over time, highlighting the role of digitalization in improving efficiency and promoting green systems. While carbon emissions were initially driven by traditional activities like exports and energy use, they are increasingly shaped by digital economy growth and green investment. Energy consumption and green investment also demonstrate a two-way relationship with technology adoption and economic growth. The findings confirm that the digital economy can accelerate sustainable development. Leveraging technology, boosting green sector investment, and managing energy use effectively can help Indonesia achieve inclusive, low-carbon growth. Policy integration between digital transformation and green development is vital to expedite the country’s progress toward the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).