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Neli Agustina
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Journal : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia

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Simulasi Kenaikan Tarif Cukai Rokok terhadap Kinerja Ekonomi Rokok di Indonesia Agustinningtyas, Diska; Agustina, Neli
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

Production and consumption of cigarettes in Indonesia tend to increase. Increasing production has a positive impact on state revenue. However, the increasing consumption of cigarettes harms public health. The government implemented a policy of cigarette excise tax to control cigarette consumption. This study aims to analyze the impact of increasing the cigarette tax on the economic performance of the cigarette industry. Using Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS) estimation methods shows that cigarette production is influenced by its consumption. Cigarette consumption is influenced by its price, per capita income in the previous year, and its consumption in the previous year. Cigarette’s price is influenced by its consumption in the previous year, excise tax, and its price in the previous year. The simulation results show that increasing the excise tax by 23 percent is efficient enough to reduce cigarette consumption while still increasing production.
Co-Authors Agustinningtyas, Diska Ahdiyaty Rahmi A. Suaib Aisyah Bintang Ali Mutafi Alia, Fitri Anggun Anggun, Anggun Arif Rahman Arifa, Ziida As-Sikah, Sarah Asshidiq, Isna Aissatussiri Bagus Dwi Hari Setyono Baiq Dinda Inges Mutiara Hati Budi Asih Chaterina Dwi Puspita Dhika Aulia Yusram Dominicus Savio Priyarsono Dyah Nur Isnaini El-Abida, Syifa Fauziah Fatimatuzzuhra Fatkhurrohman Fatkhurrohman Faujan, La Ode febriyanti febriyanti Gampar, Yohanes Apriyano Hadisumarno, Rieska Hayati, Lia Aulia Huliatunisa, Yayah Hutajulu, Ronald Ilma Ainun Fitriana Izzatul Fitriani Junaidah, Emy Khabiburrochman, Adam Kharistia Capriati Lestari, Simping Puji Mahfiroh, Nailil Mangiwa, Romario Desouza Daniel Martha Zalukhu Maulida, Fitri Mutiara Sinaga, Vhania Mutmainah, Arifatul Muzaki, Fais Nova Aji Saputra Nurfadhillah, Septy Nurrohmah, Nadia Oktavia, Anisa Prasasti, Defi Prawesty Dian Utami Prihatin, Siti Prilistiana, Indi Rahmat, Ervan Nur Resky Amelia Robert Kurniawan, Robert Sabastya, Alfian Sari, Seli Delima Setiyo, Ulfan Simbolon, Ani Ngalemisa Siregar, Revina Solihin, Rahmat Soraya, Rani Surahman, Fikri Suroyo, Sigit Adhi Syahrul Huda, Muhammad Reza Triawan, Adis Uswatun, Ulia