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All Journal Jurnal Technopreneur (JTech) Systemic: Information System and Informatics Journal Jurnal Sistem informasi dan informatika (SIMIKA)
Dwi Rolliawati
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Computer Science & IT Energy Mechanical Engineering Other

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Journal : Jurnal Sistem informasi dan informatika (SIMIKA)

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KOMPARASI SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE (SVM) DAN AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) PADA PERAMALAN HUJAN DI DAERAH ALBURY, AUSTRALIA Nur Huda Riyantoni; Moh. Faqih Bahreisy; Irfan Hakim; Dwi Rolliawati
Jurnal Sistem Informasi dan Informatika (Simika) Vol 6 No 1 (2023): Jurnal Sistem Informasi dan Informatika (Simika)
Publisher : Program Studi Sistem Informasi, Universitas Banten Jaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47080/simika.v6i1.2412

Abstract

Rain is one of the 4 weather conditions on earth. The rain itself is sometimes erratic. For some people, rain is sometimes seen as an obstacle in carrying out their daily activities. Therefore, predictions about rain are needed. Predictions about rain really help people in carrying out their daily activities. The research aims to compare the predictive performance of SVM and ARIMA in forecasting rain. The data used in this case study research is data regarding daily weather for 10 years in the Albury area, Australia from 2008-2017 with a lot of 3040 data. The results obtained from SVM for forecasting rain using daily weather data for 10 years in the Albury area, Australia with the best accuracy rate with the SVM model is 97.532% with an error rate of 2.468%, while in the ARIMA model, the results are MAE 0.181, RMSE 0.254 and MAPE 0.159. So it can be concluded that the ARIMA model has a better performance in predicting rain than the SVM method.
Co-Authors Irfan Hakim Khalid Moch. Bagoes Ali Masyhuri Moh. Faqih Bahreisy Nur Huda Riyantoni Pratama, Muhammad Hisyam Rensa Prasidyajyandalu Risky Agung Nurdian