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Journal : Eksakta : Berkala Ilmiah Bidang MIPA

Development of COVID-19 Case in District and City of Jambi Province with Exponential Smoothing Methode Sherli Yurinanda; Cut Multahadah; Reni Aryani
EKSAKTA: Berkala Ilmiah Bidang MIPA Vol. 21 No. 2 (2020): Eksakta : Berkala Ilmiah Bidang MIPA (E-ISSN : 2549-7464)
Publisher : Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences (FMIPA), Universitas Negeri Padang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (912.289 KB) | DOI: 10.24036/eksakta/vol21-iss2/244

Abstract

Jambi Province is one of the province in western Indonesia, which was affected by COVID-19 in March and until mid-September the number confirmed positive reached 345 people. Until now COVID-19 has become a pandemic.Based on this data, it is necessary to predict the number of COVID-19 in Jambi Province, including every district in Jambi city. Double exponential smoothing: The Holt two-parameter method determines the value of the trend with a tang parameter different from the parameter used in the original series. The principle of forecasting using multiple exponential smoothing: The Holt two-parameter method uses two smoothing constants with values between 0 and 1. Based on the results of forecasting using the double exponential smoothing by Holt method, it can be seen that the number of confirmed cases of Covid-19 in each region in Jambi Province continues to increase. This case is estimated to increase to 352 people in mid-October.