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Journal : Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah

Estimasi Permintaan Agregat Regional Provinsi Jambi (Pendekatan Model Makro Ekonomi) Hurriyah Huriyah; Syamsurijal Tan; Amril Amril
Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah Vol. 1 No. 1 (2013): Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah
Publisher : Program Magister Ilmu Ekonomi Pascasarjana Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (240.422 KB) | DOI: 10.22437/ppd.v1i1.1338

Abstract

The research objective was to analyzing fluctuations in aggregate demand growth variables are C, I, G, X, M and also regional gross domestic product for the year 1993-2010. To calculate and analyze some of the factors that affect the change of macro-regional components of aggregate demand in the years 1993-2010 Jambi Province. During the period 1993-2010 the economic growth rate Jambi average of 5 percent annually. Partially visible growth of household consumption by 23 percent investment by 18 per cent, 26 per cent of government spending, net exports of 43 percent. For calculate and analyze some factor that affect the change, here using regression equation with non log and log. Keywords: economic growth, consumption, investment, government spending, net exports
Perkembangan Celah Tabungan-Investasi dan Retensi Tabungan di Indonesia (Periode Pra dan Pasca Krisis Ekonomi) Amril Amril
Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah Vol. 1 No. 1 (2013): Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah
Publisher : Program Magister Ilmu Ekonomi Pascasarjana Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (385.141 KB) | DOI: 10.22437/ppd.v1i1.1343

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis (1) perkembangan celah tabungan-investasi Indonesia, pada periode sebelum dan setelah krisis ekonomi pada pertengahan tahun 1997; (2) menganalisis retensi tabungan di Indonesia sebelum dan setelah krisis ekonomi pada pertengahan tahun 1997. Data yang digunakan dalam adalah data sekunder berupa publikasi-publikasi dari instansi yang terkait. Data dianalisis secara deskriptif melalui analisis tabel dan grafik. Peralatan statistik yang digunakan terutama adalah nilai rata-rata dan koefisien variasi volatilitas. Selanjutnya untuk mengukur koefisien retensi tabungan digunakan alat analisis korelasi Pearson. Variabel yang digunakan untuk menghitung korelasi tersebut adalah variabel dalam nilai persentase tabungan dan investasi terhadap PDB. Hasil analisis menemukan bahwa: (1) Krisis ekonomi telah menyebabkan perubahan celah tabungan-investasi di Indonesia, dimana pada periode sebelum krisis bernilai negatif (saving lebih kecil dibandingkan investasi) menjadi positif pada periode setelah krisis (tabungan lebih besar dibandingkan investasi. Kondisi ini terutama terjadi pada celah tabungan-investasi masyarakat. Sebaliknya untuk celah tabungan-investasi pemerintah relatif tetap bernilai negatif.; (2) Dari koefisien retensi tabungan menunjukkan tingkat mobilitas kapital di Indonesia masih rendah. Kondisi ini tidak berbeda baik pada periode sebelum krisis maupun setelah krisis.   Kata Kunci: celah tabungan, krisis ekonomi, retensi tabungan
Determinan Ekspor CPO Indonesia Ratih Rosita; Haryadi Haryadi; Amril Amril
Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah Vol. 1 No. 4 (2014): Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah
Publisher : Program Magister Ilmu Ekonomi Pascasarjana Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (231.577 KB) | DOI: 10.22437/ppd.v1i4.1714

Abstract

Palm oil is one of the products that are important to the economy of Indonesia. This study aims to analyze the performance of Indonesia's CPO exports and to look for the influence of the independent variables such as production volume CPO, CPO consumption and the value of the rupiah against the U.S. dollar. The authors of this study tested using the Method of Error Correction Model. The time interval used is from 1998 to 2011 with the data quarter. The findings suggest that Indonesia's CPO production volume variables exert a positive and significant impact on the number of Indonesian CPO exports in both the short and long term, then the variable volume Indonesia CPO consumption in the short and long term is also a significant effect on the number of Indonesian CPO exports but negatively related, this is due to the domestic CPO consumption greater that the capacity to export will be reduced. Variables of the Rupiah against the U.S. dollar also affects Indonesia's CPO exports significantly and negatively related to both the short and long term and conditions of the depreciation of the rupiah exchange rate is not enough to effectively be driving exports. Estimates show that the close relationship between external demand caused exports to Indonesia's export performance vulnerable to external shocks. Side factors are also a determinant of export performance. Keywords: palm oil, CPO consumption, Error Correction Model
Faktor Penentu Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kabupaten Bungo Eva Riani; Haryadi Haryadi; Amril Amril
Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah Vol. 2 No. 1 (2014): Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah
Publisher : Program Magister Ilmu Ekonomi Pascasarjana Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (320.002 KB) | DOI: 10.22437/ppd.v2i1.1884

Abstract

This study aims to: (1) analyze the economic growth Bungo district; (2) analyze the factors that affect economic growth Bungo district. The analysis tool used is multiple regression model. Observation data during the period of 2000-2010. The study found that government spending, employment and investment have a significant effect on economic growth Bungo. In contrast, inflation and interest rates showed no significant effect. Keywords: government spending, employment ,investment; inflation; interest rate
Dinamika Ekonomi dan Peluang Kerja Rumah Tangga Perkebunan Rakyat di Kabupaten Tanjung Jabung Barat Amril Amril; Erfit Erfit; Yulmardi Yulmardi
Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah Vol. 3 No. 1 (2015): Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah
Publisher : Program Magister Ilmu Ekonomi Pascasarjana Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (229.872 KB) | DOI: 10.22437/ppd.v3i1.2634

Abstract

This study aimed to analyze: (1) to analyze the economic dynamics of the household smallholder plantation  in Tanjung Jabung Barat which include changes in household assets, expenditure and consumption patterns of the household; (2) to analyze the dynamics of domestic employment opportunities household smallholder plantation  in Tanjung Jabung Barat which includes changes in working hours and employment status both of head or household members. The main data used in this study is raw data SUSENAS Year 2010 and 2014. Descriptive data were analyzed quantitatively using a single frequency tables. The research found that: 1) During the period from year 2010 to 2014, the general economic welfare of households smallholder plantations in Tanjung Jabung Barat has shown. This can be seen from the aspect of increasing ownership and quality of housing and the ownership of productive assets and other household assets. In addition, the increase in prosperity is also evident from the increase in household expenditures and changes in food consumption patterns and non-food; 2) In terms of working hours devoted a good show that a relatively large proportion of heads of households and household members who work above the normal working hours. Allocation of long working hours is one of the survival strategies of households smallholder plantations in Tanjung Jabung Barat; 3) From the job status shows most heads of households trying to temporary laborers/workers are not paid. These unpaid workers generally are members of the household