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Pardomuan Robinson Sihombing
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Journal : Jurnal Akuntansi dan Keuangan Indonesia

 1 
VAR ANALYSIS: ASSOCIATION BETWEEN NON-PERFORMING LOAN, HOUSING PRICE, ECONOMIC INDICATORS, AND MORTGAGE Gultom, Yulifar Amin; Muchtar, Masruri; Sihombing, Pardomuan Robinson
Jurnal Akuntansi dan Keuangan Indonesia
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

Background: The economic crisis from 2008 to 2009 was due to the collapse of the housing price bubble, which increased the default rate or non-performing loans of mortgages. Much research on non-performing loans compared to property price and economic indicators has been done in other countries, but not in Indonesia. This research is modified to suit the housing market in Indonesia, aiming to investigate causality relationships between non-performing loans, residential property price index, gross domestic product, mortgages, and credit interest rates. It also analyzes the impulse response function and variance decomposition of each variable, focusing on non-performing loans to show the effect of shocks from other variables. Methods: The study uses a vector autoregression model. Findings: The result shows that there are causality relationships between non-performing loans, residential property price index, gross domestic product, mortgages, and credit interest rates. Furthermore, compared to the normal period, in a crisis period, no specific trend is found from the decomposition of all variables to the non-performing loans. Conclusion: This research also shows that monetary and fiscal policies from the government can affect non-performing loans and mortgages. The increase in house prices by the property firm must be applied carefully to avoid a negative effect on the economy. Novelty/Originality of this article: This research is specifically adapted to the housing market in Indonesia, addressing a gap in previous studies. It also provides detailed analysis of impulse response function and variance decomposition focused on non-performing loans.
Co-Authors Abdul Gofur Rochman Ade Famalika Ade Famalika Ade Marsinta Arsani Ade Marsinta Arsani Ade Marsinta Arsani Ade Marsinta Arsani Ade Marsinta Arsani Ade Marsinta Arsani Ade Marsinta Arsani Ade Marsinta Arsani Ade Marsinta Arsani Adina Astasia Ahid Nur Istinah Al Aqilah, Muhamad Refkhi Amin Prawiro Madhani Anang Kurnia Arsani, Ade Marsinta Artha Satwika Astawa, I Gede Putu Banu Avior Ocean Noya Bagus Sartono Bekti Endar Susilowati Bekti Endar Susilowati Bekti Endar Susilowati Bertho Tantular Bungkus Sasongko Purnomo Bungkus Sasongko Purnomo Busminoloan Busminoloan Cahya Alkahfi Daqiqil Id, Ibnu Deden Achmad Sunarjo Desak Ari Gita Wahyuni Deva A. Nurul Huda Devitama Patria Nagara Dhinnessa Prabowo Drajat Indra Purnama DRAJAT INDRA PURNAMA Dwi Muslianti Dyah Purwanti Ekowati Retnaningsih Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani, Erfiani Erica Indryani Fadlol Muhammad Fajar Faiza Aina Nurrizqi Feri Fernandes Fitri Mudia Sari Frisca Adriana Gultom, Yulifar Amin HAMIDAH Hastoro Dwinantoaji Hema Malini, Hema Hendiva Tri Nugraha Hendry Frananda, Hendry Herman, Nur Ashilah Raihanah I Dewa Gede Sunanjaya I Gede Heprin Prayasta I Gede Heprin Prayasta Ida Ayu Candrawati Ida Ayu Candrawati Iis Hayyun Nurul Islam Ine Ratna Dewi Irma Nurmala Dewi Istiqomatul Fajriyah Yuliati Istiqomatul Fajriyah Yuliati Jaka Wijaya Kusuma Januar Ramadhan Karel Fauzan Hakim Khairil Anwar Notodiputro Krisdianto, Boby Febri Kuat Sidik Wahyono Kurnia, Anang Leni Merdawati Lina Sari Lisna Sari Lisna Sari Luh Putu Widya Adnyani Mahuda, Isnaini Marta Sundari Marta Sundari Maryani, Sri Masruri Mochtar Maydita Ayu Nursaskiawati Mella Anisa Miftakhul Jannah Mohamad Arif Kurniawan Mohamad Arif Kurniawan Muchtar, Masruri Muhammad Hafiz Fadhilah Muhammad Heru Akhmadi Muhammad Ramadhan Zulfi Muliantino, Mulyanti Roberto Mun'im, Akhmad Neni Nur Laili Ersela Zain Ni Kadek Sinarwati Novitha, Irni Nurhidayati Nurhidayati Nurhidayati Nurhidayati Nuryanto Nuryanto Oki Prasetia Hendarsin Padhilah Dikri Pascal, Emilio Pradita Galih Sekar Palupi Puput Puspito Rini Putri Indi Rahayu Putu Pande Wahyu Diatmika Rahayu, Putri Indi Rahmi Lathifah Islami Rahmi Lathifah Islami Rama Bhaskara Praja Rini Rahani Risqi Nurika Fatha Hidayati Saeful Hidayat Sarah Sholikhatun Risma Septie Wulandary Sigit Budiantono Sigit Budiantono Sigit Budiantono Sigit Budiantono Sigit Budiantono Sinarta Putra P. Surbakti Sri Murdaningrum Stephanus, Matthew Suryadiningrat Suryadiningrat Suryadiningrat Taufik Febriyanto Temy Setiawan, Temy Triana Mauliasih Aritonang Triana Mauliasih Aritonang Ulfa Anggraini Usep Nugraha Wahyu Puji Lestari Widdia Angraini Wiradinata Lambok Silaban Wisnu Pratiko Y Yunita Yanti, Ni Komang Semara Yesi, Desri Yoshep Paulus Apri Caraka Yuda Yudhie Andriyana Yuninda Anggraini Putri Yunita Yunita Yunita Zain Yudha Prawira Zakir, Supratman