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Import Demand of Palm Oil From Indonesia in The Indian Market bin Abdullah, Zainuddin
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis Vol. 21 No. 1 (2024): JMA Vol. 21 No. 1, March 2024
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17358/jma.21.1.160

Abstract

Palm oil has occupied an important position in the world trade of edible oils. India is still very dependent on palm oil imports, including other vegetable oils, to meet the needs of cooking oil and palm-based food industries. This study uses an ARDL approach to examine several factors that affect the demand for palm oil imports (CPO and RPO) from Indonesia in the Indian market. In the long run, CPO imports in the Indian market are significantly affected by CPO prices, sunflower oil prices, soybean oil prices, import tariffs, real exchange rates, real income per capita, soybean oil production in India, and India's population. Indonesian RPO imports in the Indian market are also significantly influenced by import price, soybean oil price, import tariff, and total vegetable oil production in India. Indonesia should be able to capitalize on the Indian market as its demand for vegetable oil is increasing. The increasing size of the Indian market (although more protective) is a challenge for Indonesia to meet the demand for vegetable oil in the Indian market. Indonesia's industrial and trade policy should shift the structure of India's import demand from CPO to palm oil-based downstream semi-finished and final products. Keywords: import demand, crude palm oil, refined palm oil, Indonesia, Indian market
Rice Paddy Farming Performance, Rice Prices, and Food Inflation in Jambi Province bin Abdullah, Zainuddin
Jurnal Dinamika Sosial Ekonomi Vol. 25 No. 2 (2024): Jurnal Dinamika Sosial Ekonomi
Publisher : Agribusiness Department, Faculty of Agriculture, UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31315/jdse.v25i2.13512

Abstract

Jambi Province's ability to produce rice has declined in the last 5 years (2018 to 2022). Changes in the ratio of rice prices to other commodities are likely to be the cause of land use for rice crops decreasing, especially tidal and rainfed land areas. The stagnation of irrigated rice fields, the quality of rice seeds, the allocation of subsidized fertilizers below the needs, is likely to be a factor in the low productivity of paddy rice yields in the 2018 to 2022 period. Jambi Province experienced an average deficit of 5596 tons per month in the 2018 to 2020 period, and 9537 tons per month in the 2021 to 2022 period. Rice prices at the rural consumer level in Jambi Province are relatively more stable with a slow increase. This is likely related to the less volatile interprovincial rice price transmission driven by the smooth distribution of rice and the impact of the government's market stabilization program. City food inflation in 2018 and 2019 was more stable within a low range. However, it became more volatile from 2020 to 2022. The increase in city food inflation generally occurs from the middle to the end of the year. Rice has the highest weight in the food price index used in calculating food inflation. The growing rice deficit in Jambi Province creates vulnerability in controlling food inflation, especially in urban areas. Higher food inflation is feared to threaten household purchasing power and food security