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INDONESIA
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN
Published by Institut Pertanian Bogor
ISSN : 19795149     EISSN : 26862514     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Jurnal ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan (JEKP) adalah jurnal yang berisi artikel-artikel meliputi hasil-hasil penelitian, analisis kebijakan, dan opini terkait perekonomian yang berkembang saat ini baik lingkup nasional maupun internasional. JEKP diterbitkan dua kali setiap tahunnya, yaitu periode Juli dan Desember.
Arjuna Subject : -
Articles 5 Documents
 1 
Search results for , issue "Vol 4 No 2 (2015): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan" : 5 Documents clear
FLEKSIBILITAS NILAI TUKAR DAN PENYESUAIAN TRANSAKSI BERJALAN DI INDONESIA: ANALISIS THRESHOLD VAR Farhana Zahrotunnisa; Iman Sugema; Toni Bakhtiar
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 4 No 2 (2015): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1295.625 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.4.2.2015.112-139

Abstract

Estimation study about the relationship between exchange rate flexibility and current account adjustment has been through three stages, the first stage was analysis of correlation among exchange rates variability (proxied by REER and NEER) and exchange rate regimes classification. The second step was estimating the relationship that the former was mentioned with VAR as benchmark model. The third step was applying the nonlinear estimation with Threshold VAR. The results of analysis showed that exchange rate regime classification may not capture actual exchange rate variability and flexibility exchange rate can accelerate current account adjustment in Indonesia if the changes of Indonesia exchange rate less than 27.7059 (low regime) whereas in high regime exchange rate is persistent increasing so that the system between exchange rate and current account become unstable. Bank Indonesia as monetary authorities must keep the changes of exchange rate less than 27.7059, due to exchange rate can affect current account adjustment, so can anticipate if there is current account deficit in Indonesia economy.  Keywords : Exchange Rate Flexibility, Current Account Adjustment, Exchange Rate Regime, Classification, Threshold VAR
KNOWLEDGE-BASED ECONOMY (KBE), KONVERGENSI, DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI : STUDI KASUS DI ASEAN PLUS THREE (PERIODE TAHUN 2001-2014) Zulva Azijah; Muhammad Findi Alexandi; Toni Irawan
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 4 No 2 (2015): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1060.416 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.4.2.2015.153-167

Abstract

Economic growth and convergence are the major issues in the global economic. Economic integration is a form of cooperation between countries in order to achieve welfare and prosperity. In 1997, ASEAN Plus Three has been established as an economic integration in the field of innovation and ICT. The aims of this study are to analyze the conditional convergence (β) and covergence (σ) and to consider the role of Knowledge-Based Economy on economic growth. This study uses annual data from 2001 to 2014 with a GMM approach. The case study of this research are the members of ASEAN Plus Three. The resultsof conditional convergence (β) estimation showed that the best dynamic panel criteria is not bias, valid dan consistent. The coefficient of conditional convergence (β) with KBE indicators that is 0.9917 has convergence rate of 0.8%. On the convergence (σ), the result showed that in the period 2001 to 2014, there has been a convergence in real GDP per capita that can be seen from the coefficient variation values that tend to be declined.
PENGARUH FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT DAN AFTA TERHADAP KESEMPATAN KERJA SEKTORAL DI ASEAN 5 Ilhamdi Ilhamdi; Rina Oktaviani; Yeti Lis Purnamadewi
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 4 No 2 (2015): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1061.172 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.4.2.2015.140-152

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) ‎and ‎ASEAN Free Trade Agreement (AFTA) on sectoral employment in ASEAN ‎‎5. The analysis ‎focused on five main sectors, namely agriculture, mining, ‎manufacturing, ‎construction and service sectors. This paper uses panel data ‎approach with Fixed Effect Model. Variable used include employment as an ‎edogenous variable, while GDP, wages and AFTA as exogenous variables. Cross section data that are used in this study consist of ASEAN 5 countries, ‎namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam with periods of ‎observation as much as 9 years, from  2006 until 2014.‎The result of this paper that FDI, GDP, wages and AFTA have different ‎impacts in each sector. FDI has positive impact on employment in service sector. ‎GDP has positive impact on employment in manufacturing, construction and ‎service sectors. While GDP in the agricultural and mining sectors has negative ‎impact on employment. The wage has a positive impact on employment in the ‎mining and agricultural sectors. ASEAN Free Trade Agreement (AFTA) that took ‎place in 2010 has a positive impact on employment in the manufacturing and ‎mining sectors.‎Foreign Direct Investment is one factor to overcome employment issues in ‎ASEAN 5, especially in service sector. While GDP becomes an important variable ‎in enhancing ASEAN 5  employment in the manufacturing, construction and ‎services. Increasing wages can be applied on agriculture and mining as it has a ‎positive impact on employment. AFTA that has taken place is proper policy for the ‎ASEAN 5 to encourage economic growth in the mining and manufacturing ‎sectors that have an impact on increasing demand of labor in the sector.‎
DAMPAK KETERBUKAAN PERDAGANGAN DAN KINERJA MANUFAKTUR DI INDONESIA Wahyu Dyah Novitasari; Sri Hartoyo; Lukytawati Anggraeni
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 4 No 2 (2015): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1143.999 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.4.2.2015.172-186

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the impact of trade openness on the performance of manufacturing in Indonesia. In the study, performance and manufacturing growth indicated by the index of competitiveness and manufacturing added value. In aggregate, over the last few years, trade performance of Indonesia’s manufacturing sector has decreased due to the low index of competitiveness and comparative advantage. The empirical results using an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model with Error Correction Approach (ECM) shows that trade openness consistently negative effect on manufacturing value added, implicitly increase one percent change in trade openness would be deficit of changes in manufacturing value added of 4.26 billion rupiah, ceteris paribus. Furthermore, the amount of labor consistently positive effect on manufacturing value added, while fixed capital variable and value-added of previous lag (a year earlier) take effect by unstable in the long term as well as short then the crisis has also negatively affect the manufacturing value added.
ANALISIS INTEGRASI BURSA SAHAM ASEAN 5 Ardina Puspitasari; Hermanto Siregar; Trias Andati
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 4 No 2 (2015): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1145.767 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.4.2.2015.187-206

Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the integration of the stock markets of ASEAN 5 (Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and the Philippines) associated with the event of dropped world oil prices in 2014. This study using Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to analyze market integration 5 stocks with variable stock market. In this study uses a dummy variable of oil price with the value of 0 for the period 2009 to 2013 where world oil prices are still stable and the value of 1 for the period 2014 to 2015 where a decline in world oil prices. Results from this study shows that there is a relationship between the stock market cointegration ASEAN 5 during the study period that’s mean that there is integration among ASEAN 5 stock markets. Indonesia's stock market is influenced by Thailand and Singapore in the long term. Dummy variables significantly influence the JCI during the short term.

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