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International Journal of Basic and Applied Science
ISSN : 23018038     EISSN : 27763013     DOI : https://doi.org/10.35335/ijobas
International Journal of Basic and Applied Science provides an advanced forum on all aspects of applied natural sciences. It publishes reviews, research papers, and communications. Our aim is to encourage scientists to publish their experimental and theoretical results in as much detail as possible. There is no restriction on the length of the papers. The full experimental details must be provided so that the results can be reproduced. Electronic files and software regarding the full details of the calculation or experimental procedure, if unable to be published in a normal way, can be deposited as supplementary electronic material.
Arjuna Subject : Umum - Umum
Articles 3 Documents
Search results for , issue "Vol. 13 No. 1 (2024): June: Basic and Aplied Science" : 3 Documents clear
Early warning systems for financial distress: A machine learning approach to corporate risk mitigation Loso Judijanto; Jonhariono Sihotang; Agata Putri Handayani Simbolon
International Journal of Basic and Applied Science Vol. 13 No. 1 (2024): June: Basic and Aplied Science
Publisher : Institute of Computer Science (IOCS)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35335/ijobas.v13i1.470

Abstract

This research explores the development of an early warning system for corporate financial distress using machine learning techniques to address key challenges in corporate risk mitigation. The main objective is to enhance predictive accuracy by integrating financial and non-financial data, addressing class imbalance, and ensuring model interpretability. The research design involves the formulation of a new machine learning model, leveraging cost-sensitive learning and feature selection, and is tested with a numerical example using logistic regression. Methodologically, the study adopts a data-driven approach that incorporates diverse financial ratios, macroeconomic variables, and market sentiment indicators to predict corporate distress. The numerical results from a basic logistic regression model demonstrate poor performance, especially in handling class imbalance, revealing limitations in traditional statistical models. However, the research suggests that machine learning methods, particularly ensemble learning with cost-sensitive algorithms, offer superior predictive accuracy and practical applicability. The study concludes that integrating advanced techniques and diverse datasets leads to more reliable early warning systems, with significant implications for corporate governance and financial risk management. Future research should explore more sophisticated machine learning models and extend real-world applications across various industries and economic conditions.
Fuzzy logic framework for financial distress prediction: Enhancing corporate decision-making under uncertainty Loso Judijanto; Fristi Riandari
International Journal of Basic and Applied Science Vol. 13 No. 1 (2024): June: Basic and Aplied Science
Publisher : Institute of Computer Science (IOCS)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35335/ijobas.v13i1.474

Abstract

This research aims to develop an enhanced Fuzzy Logic Framework for Financial Distress Prediction to improve corporate decision-making under uncertainty. The primary objective is to address limitations in traditional fuzzy logic models, such as static rule bases and lack of adaptability to dynamic financial conditions. To achieve this, a time-dependent fuzzy logic system is proposed, incorporating real-time financial data and adaptive learning mechanisms to improve predictive accuracy over time. The research design involves creating a dynamic fuzzy rule base, assigning weights to rules based on predictive performance, and optimizing membership functions and rule weights using real-time data. The methodology applies the proposed framework to financial indicators such as liquidity, profitability, and leverage, with a numerical example demonstrating the system's effectiveness in predicting financial distress. The results show that the model can accurately predict financial distress levels, with a predicted distress value of 0.588 compared to an actual value of 0.6. The model’s ability to update rule weights and optimize predictions over time represents a significant improvement over static fuzzy logic models. This research fills a critical gap in financial distress prediction by introducing a dynamic, adaptive fuzzy logic framework that evolves with real-time data. The model offers significant implications for both academics and industry, providing a tool for more accurate risk assessment in volatile financial environments. However, further research is needed to refine the model’s computational efficiency and test its long-term predictive capabilities across different industries
Strategy and planning for beef cow development based on land carrying capacity in South Tapanuli District Hasibuan, Arif Sopiandin; Tafsin, Ma'ruf; Budi, Usman
International Journal of Basic and Applied Science Vol. 13 No. 1 (2024): June: Basic and Aplied Science
Publisher : Institute of Computer Science (IOCS)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35335/ijobas.v13i1.435

Abstract

South Tapanuli District has quite potential in developing beef cattle by maximizing the potential of land with various types of plantation and agricultural plants as a source of animal feed. The objectives to be achieved in this research are to analyze the availability of feed based on plantation crops and food crops that support beef cattle feed sources, analyze variables in beef cattle development in influencing the number of beef cattle populations, and analyze strategic factors that influence the success of developing beef cattle and formulating strategies to increase beef cattle production in South Tapanuli District. Multiple linear regression analysis was used to examine the data. The study's findings demonstrate the abundance of potential carrying capacity of the region's land, with plantation area having the capacity to support 1,420 beef cattle annually and agricultural land having the capacity to support 14,508 cattle annually.

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