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Department of Statistic, Faculty of Science and Mathematics , Universitas Diponegoro Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro Gedung F lt.3 Tembalang Semarang 50275
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Jurnal Gaussian
Published by Universitas Diponegoro
ISSN : -     EISSN : 23392541     DOI : -
Core Subject : Education,
Other
Jurnal Gaussian terbit 4 (empat) kali dalam setahun setiap kali periode wisuda. Jurnal ini memuat tulisan ilmiah tentang hasil-hasil penelitian, kajian ilmiah, analisis dan pemecahan permasalahan yang berkaitan dengan Statistika yang berasal dari skripsi mahasiswa S1 Departemen Statistika FSM UNDIP.
Arjuna Subject : -
Articles 15 Documents
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Search results for , issue "Vol 9, No 4 (2020): Jurnal Gaussian" : 15 Documents clear
PERBANDINGAN MODEL REGRESI KEGAGALAN PROPORSIONAL DARI COX MENGGUNAKAN METODE EFRON DAN EXACT Asri Lutfia Silmi; Sudarno Sudarno; Puspita Kartikasari
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 9, No 4 (2020): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v9i4.29008

Abstract

Cox proportional hazard regression analysis is one of statistical methods that is often used in survival analysis to determine the effect of independent variables on the dependent variable in the form of survival time. Survival time starts from the beginning of the study until the event occurs or has reached the end of the study. The Cox proportional hazard regression model does not require information about the distribution that underlies the survival time but there is an assumption of proportional hazard that must be met. The purpose of this study is to determine the factors that influence the survival time of coronary heart disease. Ties are often found in survival data, including the survival data used in this study. Ties is an event when there are two or more individuals who experience a failure at the same time or have the same survival time value. The Efron and Exact method approach is used to overcome the presence of ties that can cause problems in the estimation of parameters associated with determining the members of the risk set. The results showed that the variables of diabetes mellitus, family history, and platelets significantly affected the survival time of CHD patients for both methods. The best model obtained is the Exact method because it has smaller AIC value of 383,153 compared to the AIC value of the Efron method of 393,207. 
PENGUKURAN VALUE AT-RISK PADA PORTOFOLIO OBLIGASI DENGAN METODE VARIAN-KOVARIAN Khoirul Anam; Di Asih I Maruddani; Puspita Kartikasari
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 9, No 4 (2020): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v9i4.29012

Abstract

A bond is investment instrument that is basically a debt investment. The profit gained in investing will be comparable with the risk. An investor must pay attention to the size of the risk in choosing bonds. Value at-Risk (VaR) is a risk measurement instruments for measure the maximum loss of asset or portfolio over a spesicif time interval for a given confidence level under normal market conditions. The purpose of this paper is to explain VaR measurement on bond portfolio using variance-covariance method and prove that method is valid to estimate VaR’s model using likelihood ratio. Variance covariance method was chosen because giving lower estimate potential volatility of asset or portfolio than historical simulation and Monte-Carlo simulation. This article use goverment bonds with code FR0053, FR0061, FR0073, FR0074 and portfolio combination. Normality test of return asset and portfolio are required before calculating VaR values. The result of this paper for confidence level 95% showed that bond portfolio FR0053 with FR0061 have a smaller value with VaR values 2,28% of the total market value. It was concluded that VaR bond portfolio are smaller than VaR single asset. Verification test estimate that VaR values using variance-covariance is valid at confidence level 95%.
PERAMALAN JUMLAH PENUMPANG PESAWAT DI BANDARA INTERNASIONAL AHMAD YANI DENGAN METODE HOLT WINTER’S EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN METODE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING EVENT BASED Sofiana Sofiana; Suparti Suparti; Arief Rachman Hakim; Iut Triutami
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 9, No 4 (2020): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v9i4.29448

Abstract

Forecasting the number of airplane passengers can be a consideration for the airline at Ahmad Yani International Airport related with addition of extra flight. The number of airplane passengers can be influenced by certain seasonal or special events. The seasonal influences can be known through historical data patterns and if there is a seasonal pattern, the Holt Winter’s Exponential Smoothing method can be used. Exponential Smoothing Event Based (ESEB) forecasting method can be use to see the special events that effect the number of airplane passengers at Ahmad Yani International Airport. After compared, the Holt Winter’s Exponential Smoothing method is a better method of forecasting the number of airplane passengers at Ahmad Yani International Airport because it has a smaller error value, namely the MSE value and the MAPE value than the Exponential Smoothing Event Based (ESEB)method. The MAPE and MSE values be produced from the best method each of  5,644139% and 619,998,718 .Keywords : Airplane Passengers, Seasonal Pattern, Special Event, Exponential Smoothing Event Based , Holt Winter’s Exponential Smoothing.
ANALISIS WEB USAGE MINING MENGGUNAKAN METODE MODIFIED GUSTAFSON – KESSEL CLUSTERING DAN ASSOCIATION RULE PADA WEBSITE UNIVERSITAS DIPONEGORO Kurniawati, Galuh Nurvinda; Santoso, Rukun; Sugito, Sugito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 9, No 4 (2020): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v9i4.29446

Abstract

The comprehension of web visitors patterns are needed to develop website in an optimal fashion. The visitor pattern contained in the web log file of Diponegoro University’s website is clustered by Modified Gustafson-Kessel method. In general, this method produces two until six clusters. Two kinds of results are outlined in this paper. The first is the result contains two clusters, and the second is containing three clusters. In the first result, the visitors are divided into information seekers of student capacity and Engineering Faculty. In the second result, the visitors are divided into information seekers of Medicine Faculty, student admission and Engineering Faculty.  
ANALISIS MODEL ANTREAN NON-POISSON DAN UKURAN KINERJA SISTEM BERBASIS GUI WEB INTERAKTIF MENGGUNAKAN R-SHINY (Studi Kasus: Bus di Terminal Penggaron Kota Semarang) Devi Wijayanti; Sugito Sugito; Hasbi Yasin
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 9, No 4 (2020): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v9i4.29010

Abstract

Since September 1, 2018, The Semarang City Government has diverted intercity bus stop within the province from Terboyo Terminal to Penggaron Terminal, resulting in an imbalance of movement and capacity of the Penggaron Terminal which causes queue of bus. Non-Poisson queue is a queue model in which the arrival and service distribution do not have a Poisson distribution or do not have an Exponential distribution. The study was conducted on buses entering the Penggaron Bus Station with the destination of Jepara, Kedungjati, Juwangi, Yogyakarta, Kudus/Pati/Lasem, Pekalongan/Tegal, and Purwokerto/Purworejo. The main goal of this project is to identify the queue model of Non-Poisson and calculate the measure of system performance using the GUI R. One of the programs in R that can create an interactive web-based GUI (Graphical User Interface) is R-Shiny. R-Shiny is a toolkit of R programs that can be used to create online programs. The distribution test obtained using the EasyFit program. The bus queue model of Jepara is (DAGUM/GEV/4):(GD/∞/∞), the queue model of Kedungjati is (GPD/ DAGUM/1):(GD/∞/∞), the queue model of Juwangi is (GEV/ GEV/1):(GD/∞/∞), the queue model of Yogyakarta is (DAGUM/ DAGUM/1) : (GD/∞/∞), the queue model of Kudus/Pati/Lasem is (DAGUM/GEV/1):(GD/∞/∞), the queue model of Pekalongan/Tegal is (GEV/DAGUM/1):(GD/∞/∞), and the queue model of Purwokerto/Purworejo is (GPD/DAGUM/1) : (GD/∞/∞). 

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