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All Journal Journal of Economic Education and Entrepreneurship Studies
Suparman Suparman
Universitas Tadulako, Indonesia
Economics, Econometrics & Finance Other

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Fiscal Policy and Investment as Determinants of Regional Economic Resilience In Indonesia Nurnaningsih Nurnaningsih; Patta Tope; Suparman Suparman; Yunus Sading
Journal of Economic Education and Entrepreneurship Studies Vol. 7 No. 2 (2026)
Publisher : Department of Economics Education, Faculty of Economics, Universitas Negeri Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62794/je3s.v7i2.199

Abstract

Economic resilience has been a major concern in economic development studies, especially when there are recurrent macroeconomic shocks and structural vulnerabilities. Although fiscal and investment policies are widely recognized as drivers of economic growth, empirical evidence linking fiscal and investment policies to regional economic resilience from an aggregate demand perspective is limited. This study examines the impact of these two variables on economic resilience in 34 provinces in Indonesia during the period 2012-2024. Regional resilience is measured using real aggregate consumption relative to counterfactual long-term trends, thereby capturing the capacity of regions to withstand shocks and recover over time. The analysis used a Fixed Effects panel model, selected based on the Chow and Hausman tests. The findings show that disaster-related spending through contingency significantly increases the region's economic resilience in the short term, while capital expenditure also has a positive short-term effect, albeit on a smaller scale. In addition, foreign direct investment and domestic investment show statistically significant and consistent positive effects on economic resilience. These results extend Keynesian aggregate demand theory by showing that fiscal and investment policy instruments not only stabilize output but also strengthen adaptive regional resilience, offering important policy insights for disaster-prone developing countries.
Economic Valuation and Ecological Thresholds in the Mangrove-Shrimp System Kartini Kartini; Patta Tope; Suparman Suparman
Journal of Economic Education and Entrepreneurship Studies Vol. 7 No. 4 (2026)
Publisher : Department of Economics Education, Faculty of Economics, Universitas Negeri Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62794/je3s.v7i4.411

Abstract

The conversion of mangrove forests into vannamei shrimp ponds has increased aquaculture production, but at the same time triggered the degradation of coastal ecosystems and the loss of environmental services of high economic value. This study aims to analyze the trade-off between economic benefits and ecological sustainability through estimating Total Economic Value (TEV), testing the effect of pond intensity on mangrove health, and identifying ecological thresholds as the basis for sustainable coastal management. The research uses a mixed-methods approach with a sequential explanatory (QUAN→QUAL) design. Quantitative data were obtained from a survey of 212 farmers, analysis of Landsat/Sentinel imagery for the 2020–2024 period, and then deepened through interviews and Focus Group Discussions (FGD). The analysis was conducted using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) with Robust Standard Errors, as well as Cost–Benefit Analysis (CBA) and Net Present Value (NPV) evaluations. The results of the study show that the TEV of the mangrove ecosystem reaches Rp306.8 million/ha/year, with Indirect Use Value dominating at 71.2%. The intensity of ponds had a negative and significant effect on the NDVI index (β = –0.710; p < 0.001), while the application of silvofishery had a positive effect on mangrove health. Scenario simulation shows that the silvofishery system with a composition of 60% mangroves and 40% ponds produces the highest economic feasibility (NPV of Rp89.7 million/ha; BCR 2.38) while maintaining ecological function. These findings confirm that the integration of economic valuation and ecological thresholds is an important basis for the formulation of coastal management policies that are able to balance aquaculture productivity and mangrove conservation.
Co-Authors Kartini Kartini Nurnaningsih Nurnaningsih Patta Tope Yunus Sading