Ardriani, Ni Nengah Dita
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Journal : JSIKTI (Jurnal Sistem Informasi dan Komputer Terapan Indonesia)

Adaptive Operator and Scaling Factor Selection in Differential Evolution using Parametrized Reinforcement Learning Santiyuda, Kadek Gemilang; Sugiartawan, Putu; Santiago, Gede Agus; Ardriani, Ni Nengah Dita; Kafiyanna, Moch Ilham Nur
Jurnal Sistem Informasi dan Komputer Terapan Indonesia (JSIKTI) Vol 7 No 3 (2025): March
Publisher : INFOTEKS (Information Technology, Computer and Sciences)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33173/jsikti.206

Abstract

Mutation strategy selection along with parameter settings are well known challenges in enhancing the performance of differential evolution (DE). In this paper, we propose to solve these problems as a parametrized action Markov decision process. A multi-pass deep Q-network (MP-DQN) is used as the reinforcement learning method in the parametrized action space. The architecture of MP-DQN comprises an actor network and a Q-network, both trained offline. The networks’ weights are trained based on the samples of states, actions and rewards collected on every DE iterations. We use 99 features to describe a state of DE and experiment on 4 reward definitions. A benchmark study is carried out with functions from CEC2005 to compare the performance of the proposed method to baseline DE methods without any parameter control, with random scaling factor, and to other DEs with adaptive operator selection methods, as well as to the two winners of CEC2005. The results show that DE with MP-DQN parameter control performs better than the baseline DE methods and obtains competitive results compared to the other methods.
Deep Learning Approach for USD to IDR Forecasting with LSTM Ardriani, Ni Nengah Dita; Sugiartawan, Putu; Santiago, Gede Agus; Darma Wandika, I Made Pranadata; Wiwahana Prasetya, I Made Irfan
Jurnal Sistem Informasi dan Komputer Terapan Indonesia (JSIKTI) Vol 8 No 1 (2025): September
Publisher : INFOTEKS (Information Technology, Computer and Sciences)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33173/jsikti.210

Abstract

This Research explores the use of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for forecasting the USD to IDR exchange rate, with the goal of improving prediction accuracy in the volatile foreign exchange market. By leveraging historical data, including daily exchange rates and trading volume, the LSTM model captures long-term dependencies and patterns within the time series data. The results show that the LSTM model effectively predicts general trends and medium-term fluctuations, demonstrating its capacity to follow market dynamics. However, the model struggles with extreme volatility and sudden market shifts, particularly during unforeseen geopolitical or economic events. This limitation highlights the need for further enhancement through the incorporation of additional features, such as macroeconomic indicators, sentiment analysis, and real-time news data. Furthermore, the study suggests the potential benefits of combining LSTM with other machine learning techniques to create hybrid models that can better handle short-term fluctuations and extreme events. In conclusion, while LSTM shows promise for exchange rate forecasting, its performance can be improved by refining model parameters, incorporating diverse data sources, and exploring hybrid approaches. This research provides valuable insights for traders, investors, and policymakers seeking to make more informed decisions in the foreign exchange market.
LSTM Neural Network for Predicting Tourist Arrivals to Bali Erawati, Kadek Nonik; Sugiartawan, Putu; Ardriani, Ni Nengah Dita; Hartama, I Dewa Agung Bayu Mega; Frasetya, I Gusti Ngurah Hendra; Mahendra, I Gede Orka
Jurnal Sistem Informasi dan Komputer Terapan Indonesia (JSIKTI) Vol 8 No 1 (2025): September
Publisher : INFOTEKS (Information Technology, Computer and Sciences)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33173/jsikti.211

Abstract

Tourism is a key pillar of Bali’s economy, contributing significantly to employment, cultural preservation, and income generation. Accurate forecasting of tourist arrivals is crucial for sustainable growth and resource optimization. This study applies Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks to predict tourist arrivals in Bali, leveraging historical data and external factors such as global economic indicators, flight frequencies, cultural events, and environmental conditions. LSTM’s ability to model complex temporal dependencies and non-linear relationships offers significant advantages over traditional methods like ARIMA, especially in handling seasonal patterns and irregularities. The model was trained on a robust dataset, preprocessed to address missing values, outliers, and variability. Performance evaluation metrics, including RMSE, demonstrate high predictive accuracy during stable periods but highlight limitations in handling anomalies such as the COVID-19 pandemic. To address these challenges, recommendations include integrating additional external variables, employing hybrid models, and conducting scenario-based sensitivity analyses to enhance adaptability and robustness. The results highlight the practical utility of AI-driven forecasting tools in tourism management, providing actionable insights for policymakers and stakeholders to optimize planning, mitigate risks, and support sustainable development. This research contributes to the growing field of AI applications in tourism, promoting resilience and competitiveness in an increasingly dynamic global market.
Optimizing Chili Price Prediction Using Machine Learning Classification Antara, I Gede Made Yudi; Sugiartawan, Putu; Ardriani, Ni Nengah Dita; Dewa, Hari Putra Maha; Widya Dharma, I Gusti Ngurah Adi; Satya, I Putu Adnya
Jurnal Sistem Informasi dan Komputer Terapan Indonesia (JSIKTI) Vol 8 No 1 (2025): September
Publisher : INFOTEKS (Information Technology, Computer and Sciences)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33173/jsikti.214

Abstract

Optimizing chili price prediction is critical for agricultural stakeholders, enabling better decision-making in supply chain management, market strategies, and farming practices. This research focuses on leveraging machine learning classification models to improve the accuracy and reliability of chili price predictions. The research addresses the challenges of class imbalance, which often occurs due to the uneven representation of price fluctuations in datasets. Resampling techniques, including oversampling the minority class with Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) and undersampling the majority class, were employed to balance the dataset and enhance the model's sensitivity to less frequent price drops. Key predictive features such as weather conditions, market demand, transportation costs, and economic indicators were integrated into the models. Advanced classification algorithms like Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees were utilized, demonstrating their effectiveness in handling non-linear relationships and class imbalance. Regularization techniques and k-fold cross-validation were applied to prevent overfitting and ensure robust model performance across different data subsets.The results show significant improvements in precision, recall, and overall model accuracy, making the approach suitable for real-world applications. By optimizing machine learning models, this research provides actionable insights for stakeholders to manage price volatility effectively, supporting sustainable agricultural practices and market stability.