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Journal : Quantitative Economics and Management Studies

Investigating The Unexpected Price Plummet And Volatility Rise In Energy Market: A Comparative Study of Machine Learning Approaches Arnold Adimabua Ojugo; Oghenevwede Debby Otakore
Quantitative Economics and Management Studies Vol. 1 No. 3 (2020)
Publisher : Yayasan Ahmar Cendekia Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (658.006 KB) | DOI: 10.35877/454RI.qems12119

Abstract

The energy market aims to manage risks associated with prices and volatility of oil asset. It is a capital-intensive market that is rippled with chaos and complex interactions among its demand-supply derivatives. Models help users forecast such interactions, to provide investors with empirical evidence of price direction. Our study sought to investigate the reasons for the unexpected plummet in price of the energy market using evolutionary modeling – which seeks to analyze input data and yield an optimal, complete solution that are tractable, robust and low-cost with tolerance of ambiguity, uncertainty and noise. We adopt the Gabillon’s model to: (a) predict spots/futures prices, (b) investigate why previous predictions failed as to why price plummet, and (c) seek to critically evaluate values reached by both proposed deep learning model and the memetic algorithm by Ojugo and Allenotor (2017).
Intelligent Peer-To-Peer Banking Framework: Advancing The Frontiers of Agent Banking For Financial Inclusion In Nigeria Via Smartphones Arnold Adimabua Ojugo; Oghenevwede Debby Otakore
Quantitative Economics and Management Studies Vol. 1 No. 5 (2020)
Publisher : Yayasan Ahmar Cendekia Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (800.741 KB) | DOI: 10.35877/454RI.qems140

Abstract

The advent of the retail point of sale (POS) system as a critical component of the traditional retail infrastructure seeks to advance client payment-ease for goods and services rendered by vendors as well as the effective collection of funds by the vendor. It also aids the vendor to collect in advance monies that the client may wish to spend later on goods and services. Thus, the POS has since become a necessity in modern retail stores as its increased usage has seen a transformation from a single machine to a cloud and smart platforms. Our study seeks to model a conceptual framework for decentralized POS as adapted to smartphones. This will enhance cashless transaction irrespective of a customer’s location globally and locally. Built around the block-chain technology, it seeks to minimize challenge(s) of time, installation requirements incurred with the adoption of automatic teller machine (ATM), location and citing of agent-banking in a rural area with low tele- and tech-penetration.