Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2021 - 2026
0.444
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal JEMMA | Journal of Economic, Management and Accounting JAMBURA JOURNAL OF PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS
Eka Purnama
IAIN Sultan Amai Gorontalo
Humanities Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Social Sciences

Published : 2 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search
Journal : JAMBURA JOURNAL OF PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

 1 
APLIKASI METODE SINGULAR SPECTRUM ANALYSIS (SSA) PADA PERAMALAN CURAH HUJAN DI PROVINSI GORONTALO Eka Purnama
Jambura Journal of Probability and Statistics Vol 3, No 2 (2022): Jambura Journal Of Probability and Statistics
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjps.v3i2.16537

Abstract

This paper aims to study the forecasting model of rainfall in Gorontalo Province and forecast it for 2022-2023. Usually, rainfall data is seasonal. In this study, we used Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) with the Linear Recurrent Formula (LRF) method. The result showed that the models of rainfall forecasting in Gorontalo using SSA with windows lengthL=36 obtained MAPE of forecasting in out-sample was 0,029 or 2,9 %. So that SSA was very accurate in forecasting rainfall in Gorontalo Province in 2022-2023. The forecasting result showed that rainfall was relatively high generally. So, it is necessary for the government to take policies to avoid the negative impact that can be caused.
Co-Authors Didiharyono, D. Muhammad Syukri