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Journal : Advance Sustainable Science, Engineering and Technology (ASSET)

Kernel Density and Spatial Modeling of Informal Settlement Concentration: Methodology and Findings from Palembang, Indonesia Sukmaniar; Listyaningsih, Umi; Muhidin, Salut
Advance Sustainable Science Engineering and Technology Vol. 8 No. 1 (2026): November - January
Publisher : Science and Technology Research Centre Universitas PGRI Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26877/asset.v8i1.2980

Abstract

Rapid urbanization has intensified the growth of slum settlements in Indonesian cities, including Palembang, where informal housing commonly develops along riverbanks. This study aimed to identify and evaluate the spatial distribution and density of slum areas in Palembang City through a Geographic Information System (GIS)–based approach combining Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) and Receiver Operating Characteristic–Area Under Curve (ROC–AUC) analysis. Primary spatial data were obtained from 382 household survey points representing 64 slum polygons across 13 sub-districts, supplemented by administrative boundary and land-use data from the Palembang City Government. Spatial analysis and validation were conducted using ArcGIS 10.3 software. The KDE results showed density values ranging from 0 to 58.1123 units per 100 m², with the highest concentrations found along the Musi River corridor, decreasing outward from the riverbanks. Model validation achieved an AUC value of 0.968 (96.8%), demonstrating excellent predictive accuracy. These spatial outcomes provide actionable guidance for policymakers by identifying priority zones for sanitation and drainage upgrades, flood-resilient housing design, and targeted relocation planning. The study highlights the practical role of GIS-based quantitative modelling in supporting evidence-based slum management and urban infrastructure planning in Indonesia. 
GIS-Based Spatial Equity Assessment of Temporary Waste Disposal Sites in Riverbank Informal Settlements: A Case Study of Palembang, Indonesia Saputra, Wahyu; Aryaningrum, Kiki; Pujianto; Sukmaniar; Rhamadan, Muhammad Qobul Ridho
Advance Sustainable Science Engineering and Technology Vol. 8 No. 1 (2026): November - January
Publisher : Science and Technology Research Centre Universitas PGRI Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26877/asset.v8i1.3124

Abstract

Rapid population growth and urbanization in informal settlements along the Musi Riverbank, Palembang City, have intensified pressure on the waste management system, particularly due to the uneven distribution of Temporary Disposal Sites (TPS) and limited collection services. This study, conducted in June–July 2025, examines the spatial conditions of TPS and waste management through a quantitative methods approach that integrates Geographic Information Systems (GIS) with a survey of 385 respondents across 13 sub-districts. Results indicate that TPS facilities remain concentrated in densely populated areas, while Gandus and Kertapati exhibit substantial service gaps, with 63.1% of residents unaware of any TPS near their area and 20.3% reporting inadequate TPS availability. Spatial analysis shows that only 34.0% of households live within 0–0.5 km of a TPS, while 24.4% are located more than 1 km away, indicating significant underserved zones. The study recommends GIS-based TPS redistribution and stronger community engagement mechanisms as actionable strategies to support evidence-based municipal waste planning and policy.