Techno Nusa Mandiri : Journal of Computing and Information Technology
Vol 11 No 2 (2014): Techno Nusa Mandiri : Journal of Computing and Information Technology Periode Se

PERAMALAN TINGKAT INFLASI INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN NEURAL NETWORK BACKPROPAGATION BERBASIS METODE TIME SERIES

Amrin Amrin (Manajemen Informatika AMIK BSI Jakarta)



Article Info

Publish Date
15 Sep 2014

Abstract

In this study will be used back propagation neural network method to predict the monthly inflation rate in Indonesia. In the results of the data analysis is concluded that the performance of back propagation neural network that formed by the training data and validated by testing data generates prediction accuracy rate is very good with a mean square error (MSE) is 0.0171. By using a moving average to forecast the independent variables obtained the rate of inflation in the month of July 2014 is 0.514, by using exponential smoothing to forecast the independent variables obtained by the rate of inflation in the month of July 2014 is 0.45, and by using seasonal method to forecast the independent variables obtained by the rate of inflation in the month of July 2014 is 0.93.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

techno

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Jurnal TECHNO Nusa Mandiri, merupakan Jurnal yang diterbitkan oleh Pusat Penelitian Pengabdian Masyarakat (PPPM) STMIK Nusa Mandiri Jakarta. Jurnal TECHNO Nusa Mandiri, berawal diperuntukan menampung paper-paper ilmiah yang dibuat oleh dosen-dosen program studi Teknik ...