Proceeding of the Electrical Engineering Computer Science and Informatics
Vol 5: EECSI 2018

Optimal ANFIS Model for Forecasting System Using Different FIS

Deasy Adyanti (Universitas Islam Negeri Sunan Ampel Surabaya)
Dian Candra Rini Novitasar (Universitas Islam Negeri Sunan Ampel)
Ahmad Hanif Asyhar (Universitas Islam Negeri Sunan Ampel)
Fajar Setiawan (Perak Maritime Meteorology Station II Surabaya)



Article Info

Publish Date
18 Sep 2019

Abstract

Adaptive Network Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) using time series analize is one of intelligent systems that can be used to predict with good accuracy in all fields like in meteorology. However, some research about forecasting has less emphasis on the structure of the FIS ANFIS. Thus, in this paper, the optimization of the ANFIS model for predicting maritime weather is carried out by analyzing the appropriate initialization determinations of the three fuzzy Inference structures ANFIS which includes FIS structure 1 (grid partition), FIS structure 2 (subtractive clustering) and FIS structure 3 (fuzzy c-means clustering). In this paper, the variable input used are two hours (t-2) and one hour (t-1) before, and data at that time (t), and the output of this system is the prediction of next hour, six hours, twelve hours and next day of variable ocean currents velocity (cm/s) and wave height (m) using the three FIS ANFIS approaches. Based on the smallest goal error (RMSE and MSE) of the three FIS ANFIS approaches used to predict the ocean currents speed (velocity) and wave height, the model is best generated by subtractive clustering. It can be seen that subtractive clustering produces the smallest RMSE and MSE error values of other FIS structure.

Copyrights © 2018






Journal Info

Abbrev

EECSI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Electrical & Electronics Engineering

Description

Proceeding of the Electrical Engineering Computer Science and Informatics publishes papers of the "International Conference on Electrical Engineering Computer Science and Informatics (EECSI)" Series in high technical standard. The Proceeding is aimed to bring researchers, academicians, scientists, ...