Majalah Ilmiah Bijak
Vol 16, No 2: September 2019

Model Deteksi Krisis Indonesia dengan Indikator Suku Bunga Simpanan Riil

Rina Safitri (Program Studi Statistika, Universitas Sebelas Maret)
Sugiyanto Sugiyanto (Program Studi Statistika, Universitas Sebelas Maret)
Sri Sulistijowati Handajani (Program Studi Statistika, Universitas Sebelas Maret)



Article Info

Publish Date
25 Sep 2019

Abstract

The financial crisis is a condition where a country's finances experience a disruption which is characterized by a drastic increase in the inflation rate, a weakening currency exchange rate, and a decrease in other economic activities. Indonesia experienced financial crises in 1997 and 1998 which resulted in a collapse of financial conditions and national stability. Therefore, it is necessary to have a model to find out the crisis, so that efforts to recover the impact of the crisis can be done as early as possible from the model. This study aims to apply the Markov Switching Error Correction Model to detect a crisis. Based on the indicator of real deposit interest rates it can be concluded that the MS-ECM can explain the crisis that occurred in mid-1997 and late 2005

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Journal Info

Abbrev

bijak

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

The Bijak Journal is a scientific journal of Administrative Science Business, published by the Business Administration Studies Program Faculty of Administrative Sciences Institute of Social and Management Studies STIAMI. The Journal of Business Administration is published 2 (two) times a year, every ...