FORUM STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI
Vol. 20 No. 2 (2015)

ESTIMATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT RATE USING SMALL AREA ESTIMATION MODEL BASED ON A ROTATING PANEL NATIONAL LABOR FORCE SURVEY

Siti Muchlisoh (BPS)
Anang Kurnia (Unknown)
Khairil Anwar Notodiputro (Unknown)
I Wayan Mangku (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
12 Oct 2015

Abstract

In Indonesia, labor force participation data are collected by Sakernas (National Labor Force Survey). Sakernas is conducted based on a quarterly rotating panel survey. Because of the groups differ according to their time-in-panel and observation strategy, it is possible to the presence of a bias. Besides, there are insufficiency problem of sample size to obtain an adequate precision of direct estimation at the district level. It is necessary to study how to estimate parameter based on a rotating panel survey when sample size is insufficient. Currently, a small area estimation (SAE) model that accomodates the bias component due to the rotation still only assume the effect over time which follows a random walk process, so it is necessary to develop a model that is more general. We propose a SAE model for rotation group level, its combined idea of the time-series multi-level model and the Rao-Yu model. The model will applied to Sakernas data to estimate a quarterly unemployment rate at the district level.Key words : Sakernas, rotating panel survey, time-series multi-level model and Rao-Yu model

Copyrights © 2015






Journal Info

Abbrev

statistika

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Forum Statistika dan Komputasi (ISSN:0853-8115) was published scientific papers in the area of statistical science and the applications. It is issued twice in a year. The papers should be research papers with, but not limited to, following topics: experimental design and analysis, survey methods and ...