Jurnal Gaussian
Vol 3, No 4 (2014): Jurnal Gaussian

PERBANDINGAN METODE VARIANCE COVARIANCE DAN HISTORICAL SIMULATION UNTUK MENGUKUR RISIKO INVESTASI REKSA DANA

Bayu Heryadi Wicaksono (Unknown)
Yuciana Wilandari (Unknown)
Agus Rusgiyono (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Oct 2014

Abstract

One of the instruments of financial assets are investments in mutual funds. Every day of the total fair value of the assets in the mutual fund is always changing because the market value of each type of asset that is changing. Thus causing mutual fund has a risk. It is necessary for the measurement of risk in mutual funds using the Value at Risk (VaR). There are three methods of calculating the VaR Variance-covariance method, Monte Carlo simulation methods and methods Historical Simulation. In this study, the variance-covariance method used and the Historical Simulation method to measure potential losses on investments largest mutual fund shares at 95% confidence level. The test used is the Kolmogorov-Smirnov normality test and Kupiec test return data to test the accuracy of the calculation of VaR. Because the data are not normally distributed returns, the adjustment is then performed using the Cornish-Fisher Expansion. By using the t test results show that the calculation of VaR with variance-covariance and Historical Simulation did not differ significantly. The test results show that the accuracy of the VaR VaR accurately all used to measure the magnitude of the maximum potential loss on investments in mutual fund shares. Keywords : Value at Risk (VaR), Variance-covariance, Historical Simulation, Mutual Fund, Risk.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

gaussian

Publisher

Subject

Other

Description

Jurnal Gaussian terbit 4 (empat) kali dalam setahun setiap kali periode wisuda. Jurnal ini memuat tulisan ilmiah tentang hasil-hasil penelitian, kajian ilmiah, analisis dan pemecahan permasalahan yang berkaitan dengan Statistika yang berasal dari skripsi mahasiswa S1 Departemen Statistika FSM ...