Ekonomi dan Keuangan
Vol 1, No 5 (2013)

ANALISIS KAUSALITAS ANTARA VOLATILITAS SAHAM DENGAN VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI INDONESIA

Maria S Sitanggang (Unknown)
Paidi Hidayat (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
13 Jan 2015

Abstract

This study aims to know whether there is a significant interrelationship between the stock volatility (Jakarta Composite Index ) and the macroeconomic variables (Inflation and BI Rate) in Indonesia. The test is carried out using Stationarity Test, Cointegration Test, Granger Causality Test, and Vector Auto Regression (VAR) test for the period 2008.1 – 2012.12. From Cointegration test results that there is no long-term equilibrium relationship between Jakarta Composite index, BI Rate, and Inflation. While Granger Causality test result revealed that there is a direct relationship the inflation affect the Jakarta Composite Indexand there is reciprocal relationship between the BI Rate and the Jakarta Composite Index. Based on the result of impluse Response Function, it was found that the stock volatility (Jakarta Composite Index) has a negative effect on the macroeconomic variables (Inflationand BI Rate), similarly the macroeconomic variables (Inflation and BI Rate) has a negative effect on the Jakarta Composite Index. While the result of variance decomposition showed that the role of Inflation and BI rate is significant than Jakarta Composite Index.Keywords: Jakarta Composite Index, Inflation, BI Rate, Granger Causality, VAR.

Copyrights © 2013






Journal Info

Abbrev

edk

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan adalah jurnal yang mempublikasi karya ilmiah yang berupaka hasil penelitian, kajian pustaka dan hasil pembuatan model yang berkaitan di bidang ilmu ekonomi, keuangan, moneter, fiskal, regional dan ekonomi ...