Ekonomi dan Keuangan
Vol 2, No 11 (2014)

ANALISIS STOCK RETURNS PERUSAHAAN PERBANKAN PADA JAKARTA COMPOSITE INDEX MENGGUNAKAN FAMA-FRENCH THREE-FACTOR MODEL

yolita yolita (Prodi S1 Ekonomi Pembangunan USU)
Syarief Fauzie (Prodi S1 Ekonomi Pembangunan USU)



Article Info

Publish Date
19 Nov 2015

Abstract

The validity of Fama-French Three-Factor Model has been tested in various stock exchanges to show the explanation power of market risk factor, size risk factor and book-to-market ratio risk factor on excess returns. The purpose of this study is to test the validity of Fama-French Three-Factor Model in banking stocks listed on Jakarta Composite Index. This study also shows the average monthly returns behavior based on the portfolios constructed according to firm size and book-to-market ratio. Three-factor model is empirically compared to one-factor model (CAPM). This study uses multiple linear regression on time-series data in estimating the effects of three variables (market risk factor, size risk factor and book-to-market ratio risk factor) on excess portfolio returns. The data used in this analysis are monthly stock returns, monthly market returns and risk-free rate in the period of February 2008 to January 2014. Average monthly portfolio returns calculated from February 2008 to January 2014 show a positive relation between average return and both firm size and book-to-market ratio. Market risk factor and size risk factor significantly affect the excess returns on four portfolios constructed according to firm size and book-to-market equity ratio. Beside the portfolio including big-size firms with high book-to-market ratio, book-to-market ratio risk significantly affects the excess returns on the other three portfolios. Based on the empirical results, three-factor model works better in explaining the excess portfolio returns than one-factor model.Keywords: Fama-French Three-Factor Model, market risk, size risk, book-to-market ratio risk, stock returns.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

edk

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan adalah jurnal yang mempublikasi karya ilmiah yang berupaka hasil penelitian, kajian pustaka dan hasil pembuatan model yang berkaitan di bidang ilmu ekonomi, keuangan, moneter, fiskal, regional dan ekonomi ...