Journal of Telematics and Informatics
Vol 7, No 4: DECEMBER 2019

Prediction of Elpiji price using artificial neural network

Eka Surya Gumilang (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
20 Feb 2020

Abstract

Elpiji cylinder (Liquefied petroleum gas) are basic life needs of the general public. Unfortunately for customers, unstable elpiji price in retailer. The Indonesian Government plays an important role for the Liquefied petroleum gas industry to give elpiji price stable for end user. This work use artificial neural network and backpropagation for prediction of elpiji price. Total of 1096 records collected from 2015 until 2017 were fed into the neural network models with nine variable for input data. There are inflation, elpiji Allocation, elpiji prices previous, the poor society (the poor, very poor, the near poor), and date (year, month, day). This data were used to evaluateĀ  prediction accuracy, and the price prediction results were found to be more accurate than those made by a method using only eight input variable. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) nine variable 0.030959131, RMSE variable just 0.199884634, and the test result 0.121417236. The presented results were proved that this model can be used with good accuracy for the prediction elpiji price.

Copyrights © 2020






Journal Info

Abbrev

JTI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Electrical & Electronics Engineering

Description

Journal of Telematics and Informatics (e-ISSN: 2303-3703, p-ISSN: 2303-3711) is an interdisciplinary journal of original research and writing in the wide areas of telematics and informatics. The journal encompasses a variety of topics, including but not limited to: The technology of sending, ...