IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI)
Vol 8, No 3: September 2019

Hourly wind speed forecasting based on support vector machine and artificial neural networks

Soukaina Barhmi (Laboratory of High Energy Physics-Modeling and Simulations)
Omkalthoume El Fatni (Laboratory of High Energy Physics-Modeling and Simulations)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Sep 2019

Abstract

Wind speed is the main component of wind power. Therefore, wind speed forecasting is of big importance due to its uses. It permits to plan the dispatch, determine the hours of storage needed, the amount of energy stored that should be used and avoid the big fluctuations in the electrical grid caused by the nature of the renewable energy resources. In this paper, we propose four hybrid models based on Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) or just Neural Networks (NN) for wind speed forecasting. Using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) analysis for selecting the parameters more influencing wind speed. Then, a Support Vector Machine and Artificial Neural Networks models are tuned by Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO). The performance of these models is evaluated using three statistical indicators: the Mean Square Error (MSE), Mean Error (ME) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). The results show a better performance of the neural model compared to the support vector machine.

Copyrights © 2019






Journal Info

Abbrev

IJAI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Engineering

Description

IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) publishes articles in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). The scope covers all artificial intelligence area and its application in the following topics: neural networks; fuzzy logic; simulated biological evolution algorithms (like ...