Economic Journal of Emerging Markets
Volume 11 Issue 2, 2019

Impact of macroeconomic variables on foreign exchange reserves: A case from Pakistan

Muhammad Azeem (Department of Management Science, University of Central Punjab, Gujranwala Campus, Gujranwala, Pakistan)
Muzammil Khurshid (Department of Management Sciences, University of Central Punjab, Sialkot Campus, Sialkot, Pakistan)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Oct 2019

Abstract

The study aims to investigate the effect of macroeconomic indicators on foreign reserves in Pakistan. A Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model has been used to estimate Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves demand from the period of 1984 to 2015. Findings/Originality: The results indicate that macroeconomic variables such as remittances, exchange rate, the ratio of current account deficit to GDP and interest rate differential (measure as opportunity cost) determine the country’s long-run reserves demand function. Whereas, observed results show that demand of foreign reserves is highly sensitive to capital account vulnerability and less responsive to its opportunity cost. The Granger causality analysis shows that the various macroeconomic variables fail to cause reverse causality. It implies that in Pakistan the demand of reserves is driven by macroeconomic stability. The study is helpful for the country’s institutions to boost foreign reserves by controlling macroeconomics indicators. 

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JEP

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

The Economic Journal of Emerging Markets (EJEM) is a peer-reviewed journal which provides a forum for scientific works pertaining to emerging market economies. Published every April and October, this journal welcomes original research papers on all aspects of economic development issues. The journal ...