Proceedings of Annual International Conference Syiah Kuala University - Social Sciences Chapter
Vol 7 (2017): 7th AIC in conjuction ICMR 2017 Universitas Syiah Kuala October 2017

The monetary policy transmission mechanism based macroeconomic model of north sumatera: a projection using stochastic simulation

Dede Ruslan (State University of Medan, North Sumatera)



Article Info

Publish Date
05 Jun 2018

Abstract

This paper analyses monetary transmission mechanism by using macroeconomic model north Sumatera, focusing especially on how the aggregate economy North Sumatera responds changes of interest rate.  In  this  paper,  we  establish  identification  conditions macroeconomics model  to  uncover the  effects  of monetary  policy to aggregate economy North Sumatera Utara.  By using semiannual data over the period 2000S1-2015S2 macroeconomics model is developed to analyze various channels of monetary policy mechanism in North Sumatera.  The empirical results show the strength and working of the monetary transmission mechanism is highly dependent on the balance-sheet compositions of the central bank, banks, firms and households. In the 3SLS model, changes of interest rate significantly affect the aggregate economic activity in North Sumatra through the mechanism of the magnitude of the elasticity of that occurs.

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