Jurnal Matematika: MANTIK
Vol. 5 No. 2 (2019): Mathematics and Applied Mathematics

Sebuah Aplikasi Metode Hybrid Forecasting Singular Spectrum Analysis – Extreme Learning Machine pada Peramalan Wisatawan Mancanegara

Muhammad Fajar (Badan Pusat Statistik)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Oct 2019

Abstract

International tourism is one indicator of measuring tourism development. Tourism development is important for the national economy since tourism could boost foreign exchange, create business opportunities, and provide employment opportunities. The prediction of foreign tourist numbers in the future obtained from forecasting is used as an input parameter for strategy and tourism programs planning. In this paper, the Hybrid Singular Spectrum Analysis – Extreme Learning Machine (SSA-ELM) is used to forecast the number of foreign tourists. Data used is the number of foreign tourists January 1980 - December 2017 taken from Badan Pusat Statistik (Statistics Indonesia). The result of this research concludes that Hybrid SSA-ELM performance is very good at forecasting the number of foreign tourists. It is shown by the MAPE value of 4.91 percent with eight observations out a sample.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

mantik

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Jurnal Matematika MANTIK is a mathematical journal published biannually by the Mathematics Department, Faculty of Science and Technology, UIN Sunan Ampel Surabaya. Journal includes research papers, literature studies, analysis, and problem-solving in Mathematics (Algebra, Analysis, Statistics, ...