Economic Journal of Emerging Markets
Volume 6 Issue 1, 2014

Analyzing volatility of rice price in Indonesia using ARCH/GARCH model

Ahmad Muslim (Faculty of Economics, University of Al Azhar Indonesia, Jakarta)

Article Info

Publish Date
01 Apr 2014

Abstract

This research aims to to analyze and to study the implication of the volatility of deflated retail price of rice in out of Java which are represented by three markets in Indonesia, namely Medan, Makassar, and Banjarmasin. The period of observation is from January 1984 to August 2011. The better model in this study is Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH). The result of the study shows that the change of rice price in all three markets was caused mainly by seasons and yearly routine cycles. In addition, at the reformation era and at economic crisis, the rice prices were more volatile.

Copyrights © 2014




Citation Download
RIS
EndNote, Reference Manager, ProCite
BibTex
Latex, Jabref
Original Source
Download Original
Google Scholar
Check in Google Scholar
Journal Info
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets
Website

Abbrev

JEP

Publisher

Universitas Islam Indonesia

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

The Economic Journal of Emerging Markets (EJEM) is a peer-reviewed journal which provides a forum for scientific works pertaining to emerging market economies. Published every April and October, this journal welcomes original research papers on all aspects of economic development issues. The journal ...