E-Jurnal Matematika
Vol 2 No 3 (2013)

PREDIKSI PENGGUNA BUS TRANS SARBAGITA DENGAN METODE ADAPTIVE NEURO FUZZY INFERENCE SYSTEM

SLAMET SAMSUL HIDAYAT (Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University)
I PUTU EKA NILA KENCANA (Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University)
KETUT JAYANEGARA (Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Aug 2013

Abstract

Trans Sarbagita is a public transportation services people at Denpasar, Badung, Gianyar and Tabanan. Trans Sarbagita is aimed to resolve a problems caused by accretion volume of vehicles in Bali. This study conducted to forecast the number of Trans Sarbagita passengers in 2013 using ANFIS. The ANFIS system composed by five layers where each layers has a different function and its divide in two phases, i.e. forward and backward phases. The ANFIS uses a hybrid learning algorithm which is a combination of Least Squares Estimator (LSE) on forwards phases and Error Backpropagation (EBP) on the backward phases. The results show, ANFIS with six inputs with M.F of  Pi  produces smallest error, compared to seven and eight input and M.F gauss and generalizedbell. Forecast of Trans Sarbagita passenger numbers in 2013 have to fluctuated every day and the average of passenger’s Trans Sarbagita for a day is 1627 passengers with MSE equal to 10210 and MAPE is 4.01%.

Copyrights © 2013






Journal Info

Abbrev

mtk

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

E-Jurnal Matematika merupakan salah satu jurnal elektronik yang ada di Universitas Udayana, sebagai media komunikasi antar peminat di bidang ilmu matematika dan terapannya, seperti statistika, matematika finansial, pengajaran matematika dan terapan matematika dibidang ilmu lainnya. Jurnal ini lahir ...