Jurnal Kajian Matematika dan Aplikasinya
Vol 1, No 1 (2020): July

MODEL FUNGSI TRANSFER MULTI INPUT DALAM PERAMALAN PENERIMAAN PAJAK HOTEL KOTA MALANG TAHUN 2019

Alma Perwitasari (Jurusan Matematika, FMIPA, Universitas Negeri Malang)
Nur Atikah (Jurusan Matematika, FMIPA, Universitas Negeri Malang)



Article Info

Publish Date
17 Jun 2020

Abstract

A transfer function is one of the models contained in the time series. The multi-input transfer function is used to establish a simple model derived from the relationship between input and output series. The transfer function model will be applied to the forecasting of hotel tax revenue (Y) into an output series with the input series variables affected by the number of sold rooms (X^a), the number of staying guests (X^b), and the average of the guest’s staying time (X^c). The purpose of this study is to anticipate the failure of the realization of the hotel tax revenue target in Malang City and to determine the results of the next forecasting. The result of this study is the multi-input transfer function, Y_t = Y_(t-1) + 0.0052294*X^b_(t-8) + 573.32180*X^c_t - 0.0052294*X^b_(t-9) - 573.32180*X^c_(t-1) + 1.18967*a_t. Based on this function, the forecasting nearly coincides with the actual data indicated by the graph of forecasting result nearly coincides with the graph of the actual data. Thus, this multi-input transfer function could be suggested to be used in forecasting Malang City hotel tax revenues from January 2019 to May 2019.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jkma

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

The aim of this journal publication is to disseminate research results and new theories that have been achieved in the area of mathematics. Jurnal Kajian Matematika dan Aplikasinya (JKMA) particularly focuses on the main issues in the development of the sciences of mathematics, in the fields of ...