Journal of Applied Finance & Accounting
Vol. 3 No. 2 (2011): Published on June 2011

VALUE-AT-RISK (VaR) FOR LQ – 45 COMPANIES

Rangga Handika (PhD student in Financial Risk Management at Macquarie University – Sydney Australia)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jun 2011

Abstract

This paper offers a new measurement of risk, Value-at-Risk (VaR) for LQ-45 index in Indonesian Stock Exchange (ISX). Basic finance uses standard deviation in measuring and quantifying the risks. This paper uses VaR as a risk measure by using historical and analytical methods. This study uses the data containing all LQ-45 weekly data from January 1st, 2005 to December, 31st 2010. Moreover, this paper also calculates VaR of three indices (IHSG, Dow Jones, and S&P 500) for benchmarking purpose. This study finds that LQ-45 companies have VaR ranging from -5.30 to -41.05 percent with 95 percent level of confidence. It means that we can expect to suffer a minimum weekly loss between 5.30 to 41.05 percent in 5 percent probability when we invest in the LQ-45 companies stocks individually. Furthermore, this study finds that individual LQ-45 stock is riskier than indices based on VaR measure. This paper also concludes that individual LQ-45 stock tends not to follow normal distribution while index tends to follow by comparing their historical and analytical VaR calculation.

Copyrights © 2011






Journal Info

Abbrev

JAFA

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Journal of Applied Finance & Accounting (JAFA) showcases useful theoretical and methodological results with the support of interesting empirical applications in the area of Finance and Accounting. Purely theoretical and methodological research with the potential for important applications is also ...