Jurnal Ilmiah Wahana Akuntansi
Vol 15 No 1 (2020): Jurnal Ilmiah Wahana Akuntansi

MODELING THE VOLATILITY FOR LONG TERM INTEREST RATE RETURNS IN THE NIGERIA BOND MARKET USING CONDITIONALY HETEROSCEDASTIC MODELS

Sunday Olaniyan (University of Lagos)
Hamadu Dallah (University of Lagos)



Article Info

Publish Date
05 Aug 2020

Abstract

Investigating the volatility of financial assets is fundamental to risk management. This study used generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic Volatility models to evaluate the volatility of the long term interest rate of Nigeria's financial market. We also incorporated three innovations distributions viz: the Gaussian, the student-t, and the Generalized Error Distribution (GED) in the modeling process under the maximum likelihood estimation method. The results show that GARCH (GED) is the most performing model for describing the volatility of three and twenty-year interest rate returns while TARCH (GED) is the most suitable model for describing the volatility of five and ten-year interest rate returns in Nigeria. The preferred models will help in the development of tools for effective risk management by monitoring the behavior of long term interest rates.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

wahana-akuntansi

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

Journal of Wahana Akuntansi online edition with ISSN: 2302-1810 published by the Faculty of Economics, State University of Jakarta, Campus A, in Rawamangun Muka, East Jakarta 13220, Phone (021) 4721227, Fax (021) 4706285. Journal Wahana Akuntansi contains the results of research, conceptual ideas, ...