Jurnal Pasar Modal dan Bisnis
Vol 3 No 1 (2021)

Simple Moving Average: Lebih baik dibanding Buy and Hold Strategy?

Jefarel Jefarel (Unknown)
Josephine Sudiman (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
26 Feb 2021

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to identify the optimal period of the Moving Average technique used to generate a better return towards 38 stocks included in the LQ 45 Index in Indonesia. The author uses 2 approaches, namely momentum and contrarian and applies the Simple Moving Average technique with various period modifications to daily trading data of 2018 and 2019. The optimal period is retested using data of 2020. The results suggest that the momentum strategy is superior to that of contrarian strategy, but overall these two strategies produce better returns than the Buy and Hold strategies. Specifically, the average loss of investors who adopt the Buy and Hold strategy is 26.43% in 2020, much higher than those who apply the contrarian strategy (the second approach) which will only experience a decrease in wealth value of 9.91% and 2.61% for those who implement momentum strategy (first approach).

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jpmb

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice

Description

The journal is designed to provide a platform for researchers, academicians, and practitioners who are interested in new knowledge and discussing ideas, issues, and challenges in the field of capital markets. JPMB is published by The Indonesia Capital Market Institute (TICMI).  It covers the ...