JBMR: Journal of Business and Management Review
Vol. 2 No. 3 (2021): (Issue-March)

Cointegration of Macroeconomics Variables and Dow Jones Industrial Average Index on the Composite Stock Price Index In 2015-2019

Frisca Novia Sukmawati (Department of Management, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Negeri Surabaya, Indonesia)
Nadia Asandimitra Haryono (Department of Management, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Negeri Surabaya, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
20 Mar 2021

Abstract

This research examines the cointegration of macroeconomic variables and the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index toward IHSG. The Sampling data used is non probability sampling techniques by using historical monthly data from January 2015 to December 2019. The method used in this study are Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test for stationarity test, Johansen Test for Cointegration, and Error Correction Model for short-term relationships with eviews 10. The findings showed that DJIA Index not cointegrated with IHSG because investors are more responsive to global market and domestic sentiment. Exchange rates not cointegrated with the IHSG because exchange rate and IHSG movements do not always had a negative relationship. Interest rates are not cointegrated with IHSG because most of the sectors in the IDX affected by external sentiment than interest rates. Meanwhile, inflation have a cointegration relationship but does not have a short-term relationship with IHSG because inflation is generally known as a continuous increase in the price of goods as a whole. Crude oil have a cointegration relationship but does not have a short-term relationship with IHDG, which implies that an increase or decrease in crude oil in the short term can not affect IHSG.

Copyrights © 2021






Journal Info

Abbrev

jbmr

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

Journal of Business and Management Review applies theory developed from business research to actual business situations. Recognizing the intricate relationships between the many areas of business activity, JBMR examines a wide variety of business decisions, processes and activities within the actual ...