JURNAL ANALISIS KEBIJAKAN KEHUTANAN
Vol 18, No 1 (2021): Jurnal Analisis Kebijakan Kehutanan

PENILAIAN PERUBAHAN IKLIM BERDASARKAN KECENDERUNGAN DAN PERUBAHAN SUHU TAHUNAN DI MANOKWARI, PAPUA BARAT

Femmy Marsitha Barung (Program Studi Magister Sains Kebumian FITB, Kampus ITB Jl. Ganesha No. 10, Bandung, Indonesia)
Wendel Jan Pattipeilohy (Stasiun Klimatologi Manokwari Selatan, Jl. Brigjen Marinir Abraham O. Atururi Arfai, Manokwari, Indonesia)
Robi Muharsyah (Pusat Informasi Perubahan Iklim BMKG Pusat, Jl. Angkasa I No. 2, Kemayoran, Jakarta, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
24 May 2021

Abstract

A simple climate change assessment is carried out on annual air temperatures including average, maximum and minimum temperatures in Rendani, Manokwari for the period of 1993-2019. Parametric linear regression and nonparametric Mann-Kendall trend test (MK), Modified Mann-Kendall (MMK), Sen's Slope Estimator (SSE)are used to analyze trends and index numbers for analyzing the temperature changes. Homogenity test is performed using double mass curve and assumption of normality in the distribution is also investigated to meet the requirements of the linear regression trend test. There as a significant upward trend in the mean and minimum temperature with a slope of 0.029ºC/year and 0.069ºC/year, respectively. Meanwhile, the maximum temperature test shows no trend with a slope of 0.009ºC/year. Analysis of temperature changes using index numbers shows an increase in annual average temperature of 2.8% or 0.7°C, maximum temperature of 1.2% or 0.4°C, and minimum temperature of 3.1% or 0.8°C. The increase in annual air temperature in Manokwari City can generally be caused by several factors such as El Nino phenomenon, urbanization, population growth, and deforestation.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JAKK

Publisher

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry

Description

The journal is published by the Center for Social Research and Economy, Policy and Climate Change, Agency for Research, Development and Innovation, Ministry of Environment and Forestry. The name of the publisher has changed because of the merger of the Ministry of Forestry with the Ministry of ...