IJIIS: International Journal of Informatics and Information Systems
Vol 4, No 1: March 2021

With topological data analysis, predicting stock market crashes

Nugroho Agung Prabowo (Universitas Muhammadiyah Magelang, Indonesia)
R Arri Widyanto (Universitas Muhammadiyah Magelang, Indonesia)
Mukhtar Hanafi (Universitas Muhammadiyah Magelang, Indonesia)
Bambang Pujiarto (Universitas Muhammadiyah Magelang, Indonesia)
Meidar Hadi Avizenna (Universitas Muhammadiyah Magelang, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Mar 2021

Abstract

We are investigating the evolution of four big US stock market indexes' regular returns after the 2000 technology crash and the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Our approach is based on topological data processing (TDA). To identify and measure topological phenomena occurring in multidimensional time series, we use persistence homology. We obtain time-dependent point cloud data sets using a sliding window, which we connect a topological space for. Our research indicates that a new method of econometric analysis is offered by TDA, which complements the traditional statistical tests. The tool may be used to predict early warning signs of market declines that are inevitable.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

IJIIS

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

The IJIIS is an international journal that aims to encourage comprehensive, multi-specialty informatics and information systems. The Journal publishes original research articles and review articles. It is an open access journal, with free access for each visitor (ijiis.org/index.php/IJIIS/); ...