Trikonomika: Jurnal Ekonomi
Vol 19 No 2 (2020): December Edition

EXPORT ANALYSIS: AUTHORITY OF INFLATION AND EXCHANGE RATE IN ASEAN-8

Rika Mauliana (FEB Unsyiah)
Abd. Jamal (FEB Unsyiah)
Suriani Suriani (Universitas Syiah Kuala)



Article Info

Publish Date
14 Dec 2020

Abstract

This study was aimed to analyze the relationship of long-term and short-term equilibrium between exchange rates and inflation on exports in ASEAN-8 countries (Brunei Darussalam, Laos, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Philippines, Vietnam and Thailand) by using analysis model with the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) panel from the period 1990 to 2017. The model selection was based on long-term and short-term capabilities with different stationary levels. The results revealed that in long-term the exchange rate and inflation had a dominant influence on export activities in ASEAN-8 countries, while inflation had a dominant influence on exports in short-term. This result proved that inflation had a large influence on the growth of the trade stability, if the cost of products and services continuously increased in the market mechanism, it will result in the increased public consumption. The excess liquidity in the market triggered the consumption or speculation which resulted in the non-compliance products distribution and the decline in currency value continuously.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

trikonomika

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

FOCUS AND SCOPE Trikonomika invites academics and researchers who do original research in the fields of economics, management and accounting, including but not limited to: Development Economics Monetary Economics, Finance and Banking International Economics Public Economics Economic development ...