Jurnal Serambi Engineering
Vol 7, No 1 (2022): Januari 2022

Penerapan Metode Double Exponential Smoothing dan Moving Average pada Peramalan Permintaan Produk Gasket Cap di PT. Nesinak Industries

Muhammad Hafidh Kurniawan (Teknik Industri, Fakultas Teknik, Universitas Singaperbangsa Karawang, Karawang)
Dene Herwanto (Teknik Industri, Fakultas Teknik, Universitas Singaperbangsa Karawang, Karawang)



Article Info

Publish Date
03 Feb 2022

Abstract

PT. Nesinak Industries is a company which focuses on the manufacturing process of an electronic component as well as automotive components (vehicle). In business activities, such as production, a strategy is required to survive in competition. Planning and forecasting are a strategy that can be implemented to accomplish these goals. In this study, the data used are previous sealing application data from January 2019 to March 2021. The objective of this study is to forecast product demand over the next period in order to be able to respond to customer demand. Data processing in this study utilize the Brown exponential  double smoothing method  and the moving average is then determined with the lowest MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) value to be used for the company’s product demand prediction calculations. The value of taken from Brown's exponential dual smoothing method is the value of with the two lowest error values from 0.1 to 0.9, whose value with the least error value is = 0.8 and = 0.9. In terms of the moving average method, the researchers tested a period of three months and a period of four months. In the MAPE calculation, the results of exponential double smoothing = 0.8 of 26.92 %, exponential double smoothing = 0.9 of 26.22 %, moving average n = 3 of 32.46%, and moving average n = 4 of 34.77%.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jse

Publisher

Subject

Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Engineering Environmental Science

Description

Jurnal Serambi Engineering diterbitkan oleh Fakultas Teknik Universitas Serambi Mekkah Banda Aceh. Jurnal ini diterbitkan sebagai media untuk menyalurkan informasi hasil penelitian dibidang keteknikan baik yang dilakukan oleh para dosen dari Fakultas Teknik, khususnya dari Universitas Serambi Mekkah ...