Bulletin of Electrical Engineering and Informatics
Vol 11, No 1: February 2022

Predicting death and confirmed cases of coronavirus

Farqad Hamid Abdulraheem (Northern Technical University)
Moatasem Yaseen Al-Ridha (Northern Technical University)
Raid Rafi Omar Al-Nima (Northern Technical University)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Feb 2022

Abstract

At the end of 2019, a new virus called coronavirus has globally spread causing severe effections. In this paper, an artificial intelligence (AI) method is proposed to predict numbers of death and confirmed coronavirus cases. Efficient machine learning (ML) network named the byesian regularization backpropagation (BRB) is employed. It can estimates numbers of death and confirmed cases from applied population density and date. So, the BRB uses the population density, month and day as inputs, and predicts the new cases per million and new deaths per million as outputs. The network was trained and assessed by using a daily coronavirus recorded dataset known as the our world in data (OWID). The considered dates here are from the 31st of December 2019 to the 13th of October 2020. Furthermore, recorded information from countries over all world are employed. The obtained results provided a good promising performance with a testing mean absolute error (MAE) equal to 0.0218.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

EEI

Publisher

Subject

Electrical & Electronics Engineering

Description

Bulletin of Electrical Engineering and Informatics (Buletin Teknik Elektro dan Informatika) ISSN: 2089-3191, e-ISSN: 2302-9285 is open to submission from scholars and experts in the wide areas of electrical, electronics, instrumentation, control, telecommunication and computer engineering from the ...