Journal of Computer Science and Informatics Engineering (J-Cosine)
Vol 6 No 1 (2022): June 2022

Forecasting Carbon Emissions Using the SARIMA and LSTM Methods

Syifa Ilma Nabila Suwandi (ITS Surabaya)
Raras Tyasnurita (Unknown)
Hanifan Muhayat (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
20 Jun 2022

Abstract

The majority of greenhouse gas (GHG) effects are caused by very high levels of carbon emissions in the world. Therefore, it is necessary to take action to control the levels of carbon emissions in the world. In this study, the world's carbon emission levels were forecasted based on time series data on carbon emissions from 1949 to 2018 in North America. This study uses 2 forecasting methods, namely SARIMA and LSTM, with the consideration that both methods are considered capable of providing good results. Forecasting results show that the best parameter for SARIMA is [(0,1,0) (1,1,0)12] with a MAPE of 1.995%. Meanwhile, if you use the LSTM method with parameters 1 input, 4 hidden layers, and output 1, it produces a MAPE of 0.540%. This condition makes the LSTM method more optimal for predicting carbon emission levels in the world.

Copyrights © 2022






Journal Info

Abbrev

jcosine

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Journal of Computer Science and Informatics Engineering (J-Cosine) is a journal that is published by Informatics Engineering Dept., Faculty of Engineering, University of Mataram (Program Studi Teknik Informatika, Fakultas Teknik Universitas Mataram) under online and print ISSN: 2541-0806 and ...