Journal of Fundamental Mathematics and Applications (JFMA)
Vol 4, No 1 (2021)

LOGISTIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT OF COVID-19 SPREAD WITH PHYSICAL DISTANCING INTERVENTION

Okky Widya Arditya (Dept. of Mathematics, Diponegoro University)
Widowati Widowati (Dept. of Mathematics, Diponegoro University)
Sutimin Sutimin (Unknown)
R. Heru Tjahjana (Dept. of Mathematics, Diponegoro University)
Priyo Sidik Sasongko (Dept. of Mathematics, Diponegoro University)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Jul 2021

Abstract

In early 2020, covid-19 spread fast in the worldwide and cause the high death. The disease started from the Asian region which resulted in a viral pandemic in 2020. In order to anticipate the increasing of the cases, a strategy is needed to inhibit its transmission. The mathematical model approach is important tool for predicting of covid-19 spread in populations. In this paper we propose and analyze the dynamical behaviour of a developed logistic model by considering the effect of the contact patterns in reducing the covid-19 spread process. To verify the developed logistic model, numerical simulation was given with case study of covid-19 spread for patients under supervision in Central Java Province, Indonesia. Based on simulation results, it was found that physical distancing can reduce the growth of the covid-19 spread for patient under supervision. It can be seen from the number of covid-19 spread for patients under supervision with physical distancing intervention smaller compared to without physical distancing intervention.

Copyrights © 2021






Journal Info

Abbrev

jfma

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management

Description

Journal of Fundamental Mathematics and Applications (JFMA) is an Indonesian journal published by the Department of Mathematics, Diponegoro University, Semarang, Indonesia. JFMA has been published regularly in 2 scheduled times (June and November) every year. JFMA is established to highlight the ...