PROSIDING SEMINAR NASIONAL FISIKA (E-JOURNAL)
Vol 6 (2017): PROSIDING SEMINAR NASIONAL FISIKA (E-JOURNAL) SNF2017

UJI KEMAMPUAN OBSERVASI DAN PRAKIRAAN MENGGUNAKAN MODEL COSMO (STUDI KASUS HUJAN LEBAT DI JAKARTA DAN LAMPUNG 20 FEBRUARI 2017)

Wido Hanggoro (Puslitbang BMKG, Jalan Angkasa 1 No.2, Jakarta Pusat, 10720)
Linda Firotul (Puslitbang BMKG, Jalan Angkasa 1 No.2, Jakarta Pusat, 10720)
Asteria S. Handayani (Puslitbang BMKG, Jalan Angkasa 1 No.2, Jakarta Pusat, 10720)
Sri Noviati (Puslitbang BMKG, Jalan Angkasa 1 No.2, Jakarta Pusat, 10720)
Erwin E. S. Makmur (Puslitbang BMKG, Jalan Angkasa 1 No.2, Jakarta Pusat, 10720)
Roni Kurniawan (Puslitbang BMKG, Jalan Angkasa 1 No.2, Jakarta Pusat, 10720)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Oct 2017

Abstract

BMKG continues to develop various NWP models to improve the quality of weather forecast information, such as CCAM (Conformal Cubic Atmospheric Model), WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) and most recently COSMO (Consortium for Small-Scale Modeling). This study aims to determine the ability of the COSMO model in providing extreme precipitation forecast in Indonesia with case studies of heavy rain in Jakarta and Lampung on 20 February 2017. The COSMO model runs with a resolution of 7 km, then compares with GSMaP data and three hourly rainfall observation in Jakarta and Lampung at 5 locations. The results show that GSMaP rain satellite data has a similar pattern with the observed data, so it can be used as a spatial reference to calculate the bias between the COSMO model with GSMaP. Based on COSMO spatial data output, in general, has not given good results, with an average rainfall intensity value of -3 mm in Jakarta and -10 mm for Lampung (underestimated). Thus, it can be concluded that the COSMO model run with the 7 km resolution has not been able to provide accurate information about the occurrence of extreme rain. Keywords: COSMO, GSMaP, rainfall observation, bias

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Journal Info

Abbrev

prosidingsnf

Publisher

Subject

Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Physics Other

Description

Focus and Scope: Physics education Physics Instrumentation and Computation Material Physics Medical Physics and Biophysics Physics of Earth and Space Physics Theory, Particle, and Nuclear Environmental Physics and Renewable ...