Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah
Vol. 5 No. 4 (2018): Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah

An empirical nexus between oil price collapse and economic growth in Sub-Saharan African oil based economies

KEJI Sunday Anderu (Department of Economics, Federal University Oye-Ekiti, Nigeria)



Article Info

Publish Date
02 Jun 2018

Abstract

The focus of this study, is to empirically investigate the nexus between oil price collapse and economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa oil based economies, specifically from Angola, Nigeria and Sudan between January, 2010 and December, 2015, through panel random effects model (REM): Economic growth rate (GDPR) and independent variables: Oil price (OPR), Exchange rate (EXR), Industrial Output (IND) and Terms of Trade (TOT. REM result showed that there is negative link between oil price collapse and the economic growth in the case of Angola, Nigeria and Sudan, which confirmed the nexus between oil price collapse and economic growth. Post estimation tests such as Hausman and Breusch and Pagan Lagrange Multiplier Test were adopted to empirically show the consistency and efficiency of the model. Interestingly, the two key variables (GDPR and OPR) disclose how unprecedented oil price fall disrupts economic growth of the selected economies. Meanwhile, poor institutional quality in the oil sector coupled with poor fiscal measure among others, further expose these economies to unprecedented external shocks that was characterized by skyrocket exchange rate, hence destabilize growth within the period under review. Therefore, the need for a robust fiscal measure is pertinent in order to sustain economic growth

Copyrights © 2018






Journal Info

Abbrev

JES

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah (The Journal of Perspectives on Financing and Regional Development) is an open-access, peer-reviewed international forum for scientists involved in research to publish high quality and refereed papers. Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan focuses on ...