Indonesian Capital Market Review
Vol. 7, No. 1

Understanding Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Yield Spread: Role of Default and Non-Default Determinants

Pratiwi, Adelia Surya (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jan 2015

Abstract

This paper is motivated by the fact that emerging market assets size has been expanding and trying to use sovereign debt market as part of capital market as main research focus. It is highlighting the distinction between default and non-default determinants and examining their significance in explaining emerging market sovereign bond yield spread. Using Cross-Sectional Fixed-Effect Panel Estimator, we found that both default (as proxied by Credit Rating and Outlook Index) and non-default (as proxied by 3-month Fed Funds Futures) determinants has significant explanatory power to sovereign bond yield spread. Extensively, we also found the significance to add volatility of 3-month Fed Funds Futures and Fed Target Rate basis and volatility of advanced stock markets as variables to stand for non-default determinants in the model. The significance of the latter model is strengthened by higher forecasting as well as indicates the significant role of US market to emerging market sovereign bond market.

Copyrights © 2015






Journal Info

Abbrev

publication:icmr

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

The intent of the Editors of The Indonesian Capital Market Review is to discuss, to explore, and to disseminate the latest issues and developments in Empirical Financial Economics particularly those related to financial frictions in the Emerging Markets. The topics cover capital markets, financial ...