Journal of Mathematics UNP
Vol 7, No 1 (2022): Journal Of Mathematics UNP

Peramalan Hasil Produksi Ikan Kerapu Provinsi Sumatera Barat dengan Menggunakan Pemulusan Eksponensial Ganda Tipe Holt dan Triple Tipe Brown

Silvia Hanifah Derisna (Universitas Negeri Padang)
Helma Helma (Universitas Negeri Padang)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Mar 2022

Abstract

Grouper is marine fish found in Indonesian waters which are very popular and have high market prices. The production of grouper in West Sumatra is produced by cultivation using floating net cages and direct fishing. The purpose of this study is to form a forecasting model for grouper production of West Sumatra. Also this study to predict the production of grouper based on the model formed using Holt type double exponential smoothing and brown triple exponential smoothing. The data collection method used is data on grouper production of West Sumatra province from 2008 to 2020 which was obtained from the Marine and Fisheries Service of West Sumatra Province. The method used is Holt type double exponential smoothing and brown type triple exponential smoothing. Based on the forecasting model, the forecast results for the next 5 years have increased compared to the previous year's production. By using the Holt type double exponential smoothing method, the predicted results in the year 2021-2025 are 4553.83, 4761.96, 4970.08, 5178.20, 5383.33, while using the brown type triple exponential smoothing method the results are obtained successive forecast of 4868,89, 5160,70, 5464,24, 5779,52, 6106,53.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

mat

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Mathematics

Description

Journal of Mathematics UNP is a journal to publish article from student researches in UNP Mathematics study program, and we also kindly accept other article from outside of our study program related to Mathematics: consists of publication in Algebra, Analysis, Combinatoric, Geometry, Differential ...