Journal of Mathematics UNP
Vol 5, No 3 (2020): Journal Of Mathematics UNP

Penggunaan Metode Triple Exponential Smoothing Tipe Brown dalam Meramalkan Pergerakan Kasus Positif Covid-19 di Kota Padang

Nurul Umiati Husna (Mathematics Department Universitas Negeri Padang)
Arnellis Arnellis (Mathematics Department Universitas Negeri Padang)



Article Info

Publish Date
15 Dec 2020

Abstract

Abstract — Covid-19 is an infectious disease that caused by SARS-CoV-2 virus. This virus can cause the patient gotten respiratory problems, such as Pneumonis, SARS, and MERS. The amout of     Covid-19 cases have been increased everyday. Therefore, it is necessary to do forecasting for the movement of positive Covid-19 cases in Padang City for the next few days. The purpose of this research was to find out the form of a model for the movement of positive Covid-19 cases in Padang City and to know the results of the movement of positive Covid-19 cases in Padang City. The type of this research is applied research. The method that used in this research is Triple Exponential Smooting Brown Type with the parameter of  that minimize the value of MSE was 0,29.  The results of this research showing the movement of positive Covid-19 in Padang City from August 15, 2020 to August 19, 2020 was 907, 933, 960, 987, and 1016 cases. Keywords — Covid-19, The movement of positive cases, Forecasting, Triple Exponential Smoothing Brown Type.

Copyrights © 2020






Journal Info

Abbrev

mat

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Mathematics

Description

Journal of Mathematics UNP is a journal to publish article from student researches in UNP Mathematics study program, and we also kindly accept other article from outside of our study program related to Mathematics: consists of publication in Algebra, Analysis, Combinatoric, Geometry, Differential ...