JURNAL EKONOMI AKUNTANSI DAN MANAJEMEN
Vol 21 No 2 (2022)

Analisis Pengaruh Neraca Perdagangan, Suku Bunga dan Arus Modal Masuk terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah di Indonesia

Anis Nurul Laili (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Trunojoyo Madura)
Diah Wahyuningsih (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Trunojoyo Madura)



Article Info

Publish Date
28 Sep 2022

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of trade balance, interest rates and capital inflows on the rupiah exchange rate. The data used is time series data or time series in the form of years, namely from 1987 to 2019. This study uses a quantitative approach by using the error correction model (ECM) estimation method. The data analysis techniques used include: data stationarity test, cointegration test, estimation of short-term and long-term ECM, and classical assumption test. And the results obtained in this study are that in the long term the trade balance variable has a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate, interest rates have a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate. FDI has a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate and PFI has no effect on the rupiah exchange rate balance. While in the short term, the trade balance variable has a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate, interest rates have a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate, FDI has no significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate and FPI has no effect on the rupiah exchange rate. Keywords: Error Correction Model, Foreign Direct Investment, Portfolio Foreign Investment, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, Trade Balance

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JEAM

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Jurnal Ekonomi, Akuntansi,dan Manajemen (JEAM) diterbitkan oleh Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Jember, sebagai media transformasi Ilmu Pengetahuan dan Teknologi. Terbit 2 (dua) kali dalam setahun pada bulan April, dan September dengan ISSN (Print): 1412 - 5366 dan ISSN (Online): 2459 - 9816. ...