Building of Informatics, Technology and Science
Vol 4 No 2 (2022): September 2022

Implementasi Metode Single Exponential Smoothing Dalam Memprediksi Kebutuhan Pupuk Bagi Petani

Oktaviani Dwi Rahayu (STMIK ROYAL, Kisaran)
William Ramdhan (STMIK ROYAL, Kisaran)
Sumatri Sumatri (STMIK ROYAL, Kisaran)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Sep 2022

Abstract

CV. Bima Agung Sejati, Air Batu District sells various types of fertilizers needed by farmers. From year to year fertilizer needs for farmers in CV. Bima Agung Sejati, Air Batu District, is experiencing a shortage and excess stock of goods. This is due to stock procurement without predicting needs in advance. The aims of study are to apply the Single Exponential Smoothing method to the forecasting system in determining fertilizer needs for farmers on CV. Bima Agung Sejati, Air Batu District, then designed the forecasting system using the Visual Basic 2010 programming language and the database uses MySQL. the method used by researchers in conducting research and use in the process of analyzing data is the Single Exponential Smoothing (SES) method. The results of the implementation of this method show predictions in the next period counting Naga Mas as many as 709.59, Gaja Mas as many as 590.56, Rabbit Mas as many as 814.60. This forecasting yields with an average MAPE below 6%. Thus the use of forecasting results with the SES method is worthy of being used as a reference for good stock procurement in CV. The True Great Milky Way in the later period. In addition, calculations have been carried out systematically which makes it easier for the store to calculate quickly and easily

Copyrights © 2022






Journal Info

Abbrev

bits

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Building of Informatics, Technology and Science (BITS) is an open access media in publishing scientific articles that contain the results of research in information technology and computers. Paper that enters this journal will be checked for plagiarism and peer-rewiew first to maintain its quality. ...