Jurnal Agribisnis dan Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian (JASEP)
Vol 8 No 2 (2022): JASEP DESEMBER 2022

PERAMALAN PRODUKSI KARET RAKYAT DI KABUPATEN OGAN KOMERING ULU TAHUN 2026

Martina Dwianti (Unknown)
fifian permatasari (pasca sarjana universitas baturaja)



Article Info

Publish Date
25 Dec 2022

Abstract

This research is aimed to analyze the forecasting of people’s rubber production in Ogan Komering Ulu District in 2026. The research method used for this type of research uses secondary data. The data collected in this study is in the form of time series data, which are people's rubber production data for the past 10 years in Ogan Komering Ulu District which was obtained from the Agriculture Service and the Central Statistics Agency. Processing and data analysis methods for forecasting people’s rubber production in Ogan Komering Ulu District use exponential forecasting analysis. The results showed that the forecasting of rubber production in Ogan Komering Ulu District tended to fluctuate, from 2018 - 2021 people’s rubber production in Ogan Komering Ulu District the rate of growth was positive which showed an increase in folk rubber production, a positive growth rate would be accompanied by an increase in farmers' income. But in the year 2022 - 2026 the growth rate was negative, indicating a decline in people's rubber production. The decline in people’s rubber production can be caused by declining rubber prices, declining rubber prices which also reduce farmers' income. In addition, the decline in folk rubber production is also caused by weather factors, trees experience drought due to drought so that the sap produced from tapping tends to be less.Keyword: exponential, forecasting, rubber production

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jsp

Publisher

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry

Description

Jurnal Agribisnis dan Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian (JASEP) Program Studi Agribisnis Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Baturaja adalah wadah informasi berupa hasil penelitian, studi kepustakaan, gagasan, aplikasi teori, dan kajian analisis krisis di bidang agribisnis dan sosial ekonomi pertanian fakultas ...